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Ctrip.com Made a Huge Run
By:
TraderMark
Thursday, May 15, 2008 11:14 AM
Symbols:
CTRP
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I sold out most of my
Ctrip.com (CTRP)
in early May in the
upper $60s
as the stock had made a huge run. (
May 2: Bookkeeping: Cutting Ctrip.com to Almost Nothing
) The
company posted very good earnings
but
some vague future guidance
has the stock down 10%+ this morning to the $56 range, so I am
going to buy back what I sold off here in the $56-$58 range
. This allows me to get back the shares I sold off for a
14-16% discount
from where I sold them not 2 weeks ago. I still find the valuation hard to swallow but this company has been a personal favorite for years and is never "cheap". If the stock falls to the lower $50s I'd increase my position more.
I've
increased my stake
from 0.1% of portfolio to 1.3% with this AM's purchases.
Chinese travel Web site operator
Ctrip.com
International Ltd. said Wednesday its first-quarter profit jumped on higher airline ticket sales.
Net income rose 52 percent
to 98.8 million RMB ($14.1 million), or 1.43 RMB per share (20 cents per share) from 64.9 million RMB or 0.96 RMB per share.
The company said it
earned 27 cents
per share excluding expenses for stock-based compensation.
Analysts polled by Thomson Financial expected profit of 18 cents
per share, including stock-based compensation expenses, on sales of $46.5 million.
Sales rose 47 percent
to 366.7 million RMB ($52.3 million) from 249.2 million RMB.
Chief executive Min Fan said
the company was able to achieve strong results despite challenging weather conditions
. Several analysts noted that the company was hurt by snowstorms in the first quarter.
Looking forward
Citi analyst Catherine Leung maintained her "Buy" rating and said the company had a very strong first quarter. However,
she said the company was meeting turbulence in the second quarter, primarily because of the recent earthquake in western China
.
Shares of Ctrip.com International Ltd. plunged Thursday after Chinese travel Web site operator lowered its second-quarter outlook, primarily because of the earthquake that struck western China Monday. The company
said late Wednesday it expects growth of 30 percent, compared with a previous estimate for growth of 35 percent
.
Well the earthquake is an issue, but it's a natural disaster, not something that is a Ctrip.com operational issue. Hence it means very little in the long term scheme of things. But the market, as always, overreacts to 90 day periods of time (the quarter) so we got a nice plunge to reacquire our stock position at a lower cost basis. Thank you market.
Long Ctrip.com in fund and personal account
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