If you have a mortgage, carry credit cards and are considering a home
equity loan to cope with soaring food and energy prices, you should be paying
attention to what the Fed has to say.
If you are heavily invested in the stock, bond or real estate markets, the
Fed's decision will directly have an impact on you over the months and coming
years, no matter who gets into the White House. [Make sure you read the end of
this article].
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve held a key short-term interest rate steady,
following a series of interest rates cuts - a move that signals to some that
rates may soon change direction.
Many assume that means consumer lending rates will rise as well. But the
central bank had cut rates seven times since September in an effort to bolster
the lagging economy and spur economic growth. During that time, mortgage rates
were increasing. So what's going on here? And what should consumers expect loan
rates to do next?
HOW IT ALL SHAKES OUT
The fed funds rate is often considered a benchmark to set rates for consumers
on many types of loans, from mortgages and home equity lines of credit to credit
cards and business loans.
Generally, the Fed lowers rates when it is concerned about the economy
slowing and raises rates when it is more worried about inflation. In times of
lower interest rates, consumers tend to spend more because of the cheap cost of
borrowing.
But, according to a recent article at CNN.com, people incorrectly equate
the Federal Reserve's actions with changes in consumer interest rates, cautioned
Eric Tyson, author of "Personal Finance for Dummies."
There is not a direct connection, he explained, but an indirect one. "Rates
are set by market forces and they have been trending higher in part because of
inflationary concerns and, in part, because of Fed expectations." So with
inflation fears on the rise and many investors expecting the Fed to raise rates
again, mortgage rates have already begun to tick higher.
Rates on 30-year fixed mortgages have surged to a 9-month high on growing
concerns about inflation, according to a recent report by mortgage backer
Freddie Mac.
And rather than track the fed funds rate, which is the rate banks charge one
another for overnight loans, fixed mortgage rates are more closely aligned with
the yield on the 10-year treasury note, which offers a long-term look at a fixed
investment.