The ongoing credit-crunch
continues to shake-up financial markets in unexpected and frightening ways. It's
hard to keep up with the fast-growing list of financial sector casualties. Just
take a look at the fallout so far this year ...
Bear Stearns: This, century-old, brokerage firm was
on the verge of collapse in March when the Federal Reserve arranged a
last-minute fire sale to JP Morgan to prevent bankruptcy.
IndyMac Bank: One of America's largest mortgage
lenders DID collapse just weeks ago, stranding some 10,000 depositors
WITHOUT FDIC coverage. This could prove to be the most expensive bank
failure in U.S. history costing taxpayers between $4 and $8 billion!1
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac: Fannie and Freddie are
Government Sponsored Enterprises, so you'd think they'd be run conservatively,
right? Wrong! Fannie Mae is fighting to stay in business on life-support from
the U.S. Treasury. Meanwhile, Freddie Mac is already insolvent
under fair value accounting rules!2
Landmines are going off
left and right in the financial sector, leaving unprepared investors in one of
the most precarious situations since at least the last bear market and perhaps
since the Great Depression.
In this devastating
climate you should understand that it's not the return
ON your money you should be concerned about ... it's
the return OF your money that's most important.
If you have money with an
ailing Wall Street investment bank, or a shaky commercial bank, then it is
high-time you ask some tough questions about the security of your keep-safe
money. Questions like: "What's really in your money market fund?" And,
"Just how safe is my money in this bank CD? Will I be fully covered if it
fails?"
If the answers to any of
these questions are: "I'm not really sure," then you should take immediate steps
to help safe-guard your wealth.
Don't assume that your
bank CD or money market fund is safe just because it has been in the past. Bear
Stearns was safe for nearly 100 years; Fannie Mae and IndyMac were considered
safe too ... until now. Things are seriously different today.
The ongoing credit-crunch
is taking a heavy toll on financial institutions once considered too big to fail
... let's take a more detailed look at the casualties so far, and talk about a
few simple steps you can take right now to make certain your keep-safe money is
really secure.
Expect More Bank
Failures as Loan Losses Double
The high-profile failures
listed above may be just the tip of the iceberg — the first of many financial
firms to go bust — sending severe after-shocks through financial markets.
In fact, the Federal
Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) says 90 lending institutions are on its
"problem list" of banks that could fail.
Could your bank be on the
list? Of course, the FDIC won't reveal these names, for fear of triggering
panic. However, the Chairman of the FDIC is on record warning of "additional
bank failures as lenders grapple with losses from the collapse of the U.S.
housing market."3
How Much Worse
Could the Current Banking-Crisis Get?
Some historical
perspective might help answer that question.
The U.S. Savings and Loan
Crisis of the 1980s and early 1990s gives us perhaps the best example to go by.
The S&L Crisis has been labeled as "the greatest collapse of U.S. financial
institutions since the 1930s."4
From 1986 to 1995, more
than 1,000 savings and loans with $519 billion in combined assets failed and
were either closed or reorganized by Federal regulators. The S&L debacle
resulted in a loss of about $153 billion when all was said and done, which
overwhelmed the FSLIC deposit insurance funds available at that time.
Ultimately, U.S. taxpayers
footed the bill for 81% of S&L cleanup costs — nearly $124 billion! The
number of federally insured thrift institutions in the U.S. was
cut-in-half during this period alone!5
Fast-forward to the
present. We are now faced with a new financial and banking sector crisis that
will almost certainly eclipse the S&L debacle by orders of magnitude. Over
the weekend, U.S. banking regulators closed two more banks due to insufficient
capital. So far, only seven banks, including IndyMac, have failed this year, but
there will be many more to come — you can practically count on it.
The FDIC has its list of
90 "problem" banks, but isn't about to alert the depositors in these
institutions for fear of triggering a run on these banks. But, what if there are
many more insolvent lenders flying under the radar? After all, IndyMac
wasn't even on the list!6 One
banking analyst warns in a recent report that as many as 150 banks could fail
over the next 12 to 18 months — "Everybody is drawing up lists, trying to figure
out who the next bank is."7
The truth is, bank
failures are a lagging indicator. You may not even realize your bank is in
trouble until — as in the case of IndyMac — there's a desperate run-on-the-bank.
But by the time panicked depositors line up outside your local branch, it's
already too late.
American Banks
Have $2.6 Trillion in UNINSURED Deposits ...
Is
Your Bank Account Fully Protected?
Consider this: global
banks and brokers have so far suffered losses or asset write-offs of more than
$400 billion — and still counting.
8 These
staggering losses already amount to almost
three-times the
size of the entire S&L debacle!
Meredith Whitney, an
Oppenheimer & Co. securities analyst, recently said that banks are
just halfway through writing off the value of assets.9 She predicts U.S. banks will report the
biggest losses in more than two decades, exceeding the last banking-bust in 1990
by "a significant margin."10
How You Can Help
Protect Your Keep-Safe Money in this Credit-Crunch
Environment
Here are four
pro-active steps you can take right away to help safeguard your wealth
...
First: Don't
Overreach for Yield. Remember, in a true credit-crisis like this,
for your absolute "keep-safe" dollars, it's the return
OF your money that's most important, not the return
ON your money. Unrealistically high yields may
actually be a sign of trouble meant to entice your deposits into a shaky
institution.
It's better to be safe,
than sorry. Even if this means accepting a lower yield to protect and access
your money — whenever you need it.
Second: Watch
for Red Flags. Just a week before it collapsed, IndyMac Bank was
offering interest rates of 4.35% on one-year- CDs. That's way out of line with
the national average CD rate of just 3%.11
Banks that are desperate to attract new deposits may offer these unusually high
teaser-rates — but don't bite. It could be a warning flag that something isn't
right.
Remember, if it sounds too
good to be true ... it probably is!
Third: Know
Your Limits. FDIC deposit insurance is limited to just $100,000
per depositor, per insured bank (always read the fine
print!) — or up to $250,000 per owner for certain retirement accounts.12 A surprising number of depositors exceed
these limits. In the case of IndyMac, about 10,000 people with a total of nearly
$1 billion in deposits WERE NOT protected by deposit insurance
when the bank went belly-up — these folks may get only 50-cents back on each
dollar they deposited. Make sure your FDIC-insured accounts are sized
within the limitations and titled correctly. You can read more about deposit
coverage by visiting the FDIC website.
FDIC data indicates that
as much as $2.6 trillion in deposits are UNINSURED nationwide!
13 If you are one of these depositors, you must
take action now.
Fourth: Know
What You're Getting Into: Bank CDs are, of course, insured by the
FDIC, but ONLY up to the limits prescribed by law (see above). But in a
low interest rate environment, many investors switch to money market mutual
funds in search of fractionally higher yields. Remember, money market funds
DO NOT carry deposit insurance, and these funds have no legal
obligation to insure you don't lose money.14
Money market funds can
load up on short-term debt instruments of questionable quality, rather than
sticking with virtually risk-free government securities. In fact, lurking inside
many money markets you'll find short-term corporate debt — like commercial
paper, and worse- collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) — some of the same debt
that is behind the bursting of the credit bubble.
Since the credit-crunch
began nearly a year ago, money market fund managers and investors found out the
hard way that commercial paper, CDOs, and other toxic-paper is no place for your
keep-safe money.
Several money market funds
managed by Bank of America, Credit Suisse and Wachovia, among others — suffered
over $700 million in losses from investing in "junk paper" — short-term debt
issued by Wall Street — which may carry substantially more risk than government
securities.15
To keep your money out of
harm's-way — you should avoid these higher-risk money market funds at all
costs.
My view: This is
NO time to be reaching for unrealistically high yields by investing in
securities of questionable quality. And, with more bank failures likely, many
are thinking-twice about their FDIC coverage. Fortunately, there are
alternatives.
Also, Give Serious
Consideration to Alternative Investment Options
With more bank failures
possible, in my opinion, one of the most secure ways to invest your keep-safe
money is in United States Treasury securities, which are a direct obligation —
and backed by the full-faith and credit — of the U.S. Government. There is
NO LIMIT on the Government's back up of its obligations —
regardless of how much you have invested.
U.S. Treasuries are
considered a virtually risk-free investment, especially in times of credit
market panic. Indeed, most financial industry experts, with the exception
perhaps of bankers who are trying to attract deposits, would agree that direct
guarantees of the U.S. Treasury are actually stronger than the
guarantee of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Being backed by the full
faith and credit of the U.S. Government has no limit, as does the
FDIC.
The reason is pretty
obvious: over a thousand bank and S&L failures over the last 30 years have
caused inconvenience, disruptions and in some cases, outright losses for
individuals and businesses. In contrast, there has never been a default
on U.S. Treasury securities ... even when fiscal budget disputes have
temporarily shut down government operations.
Besides, it is the U.S.
Government that ultimately backs the FDIC. So why not go directly to the source
— investing in government-backed U.S. Treasury securities. In my view, investing
in Treasuries is a great alternative to CDs and money market funds.
All things considered,
U.S. Treasury securities offer investors one of the best safe-haven investments
in uncertain times. That's why nearly 18 years ago, Weiss Capital Management, a
Registered Investment Adviser, launched a special strategy that invests
primarily in these securities.
The Weiss
Managed Treasury Program is one conservative investment option
that's worth serious consideration. This professionally managed investment
program aims to preserve your capital while seeking higher levels of current
income than you'll find in most money market funds or bank CDs.
Today's headlines remind
us that, even with investments once considered "ultra-safe" it is still possible
to lose money, and this is also true for the Weiss Managed Treasury Program, as
with any other investment.
However, the Weiss Managed
Treasury Program is specifically designed to reduce your risk by featuring a
conservative strategy that invests in U. S. Treasury securities, and a
money market fund (the Weiss Treasury Only Money Market Fund16) that also invests mainly in U.S.
Treasuries.
If you're looking for a
higher level of current income than some money market funds or bank CDs provide,
not to mention the safety and security inherent in U.S. Government obligations,
then you may want to take a closer look at the Weiss Managed Treasury Program
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