Merrill Lynch (MER), in taking the extreme action of agreeing to sell $8.5
billion of stock and sell $30.6 billion of bonds at 22 cents on the dollar, in
order to protect its credit rating, has scared the market. Traders are now
openly questioning how bad can this crisis get.
Overnight, the markets in Asia-Pacific were weak: Australia down -1.33% to
4923.3; Shanghai down -1.82% to 2850.3; Hong Kong down -1.89% to 22258.0;
India’s Sensex 30 down -3.89% to 13791.5; and Japan’s Nikkei 225 down -1.46% to
13159.45.
In Europe at 7:45am ET (1245 GMT), the French CAC was down -1.18% to 4273;
the German DAX down -0.67% to 6309; but the UK FTSE was up +0.48% to 5336.
Clearly, there is an effort by the Bulls to boost the market at the open.
Yesterday, the North American equity markets were crunched again. The DJIA
(-239.61 -2.11% to 11131.08), S&P 500 (-23.39 -1.89% to 1234.37), and the
NASDAQ Composite (-46.31 -2.00% to 2264.22) stumbled badly. Toronto Composite
(-0.56% to 13303.96) and Venture board (-0.08% to 2186.5) were also down, but
much less so.
NY markets closed near their lows as selling pressure continued all day,
although volume was exceptionally light. Financials (XLF -4.7%) led the
sell-off, with Consumer Discretionary (XLY), Industrials (XLI) and Tech (XLK)
also off more than -2.0% each. Energy (XLE +0.4%) managed a gain as Crude Oil
($WTIC +$1.47/bbl) closed up to 124.73.
The extreme industry groups were Airlines ($XAL -6.2%), Broker-Dealers ($XBD
-5.2%) and Banks ($BKX -4.5%) on the downside, and Integrated Oils ($XOI +0.5%)
and Goldminers (+0.2%) on the upside.
For the Cara 100, with very small volumes, the winners were SYT, BDK, NUE and
GG, each up just +1.7% to +2.8%, whereas the losers were WBK (-10.5%), IBN
(-8.4%), MICC (-8.0%) and TTM (-6.6%), which reflected the broad market
sell-off.
In addition to the Merrill woes, two more US banks (First
Nation Bank of Nevada and First Heritage Bank) were the sixth and seventh
failures of the year.
After the bell, Amgen (AMGN
+12.2%) reported a surprising Q2. Earnings dropped -7.6% due to
restructuring and other charges as well as further declines in anemia drug
sales. But these results beat analyst forecasts and there was also a positive
study result on the company's promising osteoporosis drug (Denosumab). AMGN set
a 52-week high of $62.50 before closing at $60.48.
On the corporate earnings front early today, Sony Corp (SNE) reported Q2
earnings plunged by about half to 34.98 billion yen ($326.9 million) versus a
consensus forecast of a 52 billion yen ($486 million) profit. The reasons given:
(i) a strong yen, (ii) the absence of "Spider-Man 3" revenue, (iii) faltering
results at its cell phone operations battered earnings, and (iv) price
competition in its core electronics sector.
The $USD closed the session down -0.24% to $0.7267 and the Euro was up +0.24%
to $1.5741. US Bonds ($USB +1.07% to 115.03) were up as there was a safe-haven
move to bonds and cash from equities during the session.
Precious metals were quiet yesterday, closing up +$0.90/oz to 937.80.
Spot prices at about 7:45am ET are for gold, palladium, platinum and silver
per oz (vs yesterday morning’s prices): 925.31 (930.05), 386 (383), 1763 (1752)
and 17.41 (17.42). The USD has just firmed in the past hour.
The DJIA futures are now up about +19 to 11155. A brief period of strength at
the open and then more selling, I suppose?
Comments & Outlook
The fact that Merrill Lynch did not previously write-down their
mortgage-backed assets in any significant way, despite knowing their dire
straits, is inexcusable. Yesterday the Company sold almost $31 billion of such
assets for 22 cents on the dollar. That write-off is more than Merrill’s market
cap. Regulators need to know when Merrill actually believed their assets were
significantly overpriced on the books, and who in management misled the
stakeholders of the company. I think these are indictable offenses.
America has to wake up. It’s not just Merrill at fault here. Recently, Lehman
Brothers did the same. Had they written off bad assets earlier, at a point I
believe the insiders really knew the score, that company would have been
bankrupt as well. And, I think Fannie, Freddie and scores more are in the same
boat.
The capital markets can no longer accept such deceitful practices as the norm
if the market is to remain an effective value pricing tool. Right now, it’s a
joke. The authorities must fail to understand the importance of such matters at
hand. Either that or they are complicit in what is going on.