Wednesday and Thursday of this week was enough for gold and silver investors
to experience sea sickness. Up 3% one day, down 5% the next, with no short-term
end in sight. Oil prices were less volatile and the dollar was down and up as
well.
Wednesday's biggest gold
stocks were Agnico-Eagle (NYSE:AEM), Kinross Gold (NYSE:KGC) and
Yamana Gold (NYSE:AUY). Of the silver
stocks , Pan American Silver (Nasdaq:PAAS) was the biggest upside
winner with Silver Wheaton (NYSE:SLW) and Hecla Mining (NYSE:HL) tied for
second.
The same stocks led the way downward on Thursday, with Yamana down the
largest percentage among the golds and Pan American Silver falling the most
among the silver miners.
The Pan American lowered its 2008 silver forecast because of higher
production costs.
In a research note published Thursday, Canaccord Adams analyst Steven Butler
said the delayed opening of a new Argentina mine and production costs in Peru
prompted the company to lower guidance in July, but the revised cash costs were
higher than he anticipated.
Butler, we are told, maintained a "Buy" recommendation on the stock but
lowered the 12-month target price to $45.25 a share from $46. That would be a
remarkable gain from its present price below $26 per share.
Expect more of this volatility in this sector in the remaining weeks of the
summer. It wouldn't surprise us if we all looked back 6 months from now and
regretted not "backing up the truck"...whether you prefer owning the physical,
tangible assets or the companies that pull it out of the ground.