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U.S. Economy: Are We Nearing the End of the American Dream?
By: Money Morning   Sunday, September 14, 2008 9:06 PM
Sectors: Aerospace , Basic Materials , Consumer Staples , Retail/Wholesale
Symbols: ABX, AUY, BA, DEO, KO, MCD, PEP
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That sound you hear… it’s millions of Americans cracking their nest eggs.

Inflation is at a 27-year high while personal incomes are down 1.6% from last month.

And the results are twofold: We have less money to spend. And we’re spending more for less.

Worse, that’s just one reason why one Wall Street analyst believes we’re "facing the prospect of a depression and the end of the American Dream."

This exclusive report reveals the two other economy-crashing catalysts and how they will drive the U.S. into recession.

More importantly, it also gives four ways any investor can protect their money - even profit - before and during the fallout.

It’s a must-read for anyone who owns property, stocks or is just plain tired of wondering when the market will bottom out…

Three Reasons We’re Heading for Recession…

 

The Three-Headed Monster - Congress, U.S. Treasury, and
The Federal Housing Authority:

Let’s be very clear about one point: The Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bailouts were necessary.

These two institutions are the centerpiece of the American Dream - home ownership and a vibrant economy. If Fannie and Freddie collapsed, so would everything leaning on them.

But the recent Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 - passed through Congress and the Senate, and signed by President Bush at U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson’s urging in mere weeks - is the equivalent of lobbing a grenade into a gasoline warehouse.

The act will allow 400,000 homeowners in danger of foreclosure to refinance their mortgages into 30-year fixed-rate loans. The Federal Housing Authority (FHA) will back up $300 billion of these loans.

Because all these folks need help, and because the FHA requires down-payments of only 3%, those who can refinance actually might do so instead of just walking away. Even more incentive: The FHA allows the down payment to be borrowed, gifted or provided by charitable organizations.

The FHA will end up with subprime and junk mortgages where the borrowers have "no skin in the game," and no upside incentive.

Also, these troubled borrowers will have less incentive to repay. In the end, when those dead-end mortgages are abandoned, we the taxpayers will pay to bail out the FHA.

In effect, Congress, the U.S. Treasury and the FHA have elected to take out a subprime mortgage on the economy’s future - with already strapped taxpayers footing the bill.

Inflation

Inflation is so rampant that it’s gotten to the point where government reports say a 2.3% hike in consumer prices is "acceptable."

Acceptable? Hardly. It’s absurd, especially since personal incomes are not keeping up with inflation.

As you’re well aware by now, gas prices have rocketed - climbing an astounding 26% in the past year alone.

But less visible: the soaring price of food.

Kraft Foods Inc. said its prices will jump by 12%-13% this year, and even as much as 25% in some of its cheese categories. Kellogg Co., ConAgra Foods Inc. and Tyson Foods Inc. are also planning price increases.

Global chemical producer Dow Chemical Co. recently raised prices on all 3,200 of its products, some by as much as 20%, in the single-biggest price increase in the Michigan-based company’s 111-year history.

The problem is going to get worse in the months ahead, as a survey by the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) has found that almost four times as many businesses plan to charge more for their goods and services next quarter than expect to reduce prices.

Ben Bernanke and the Federal Reserve

This one may be the most obvious choice, but it’s probably the biggest economy killer of the three.

The Federal Reserve’s job is to masterfully manipulate the public’s perception of where interest rates are headed.

It actually intended to gain and keep our confidence in its ability to stem inflation and strengthen the greenback. And it pursues these two objectives by simultaneously managing the direction of interest rates and working to keep the economy from dropping into a recession.

But as hindsight shows us, they achieved neither.

Instead, the credit crisis has blown our banking system apart.

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