
Ok so Dow is up 400 points today and one might be tempted to forget the feeling
of doom and gloom yesterday when it fell 778 points. But rest assured, the
market has not bottomed. There is plenty of uncertainty and equity markets are
for the time being, at the mercy of the US government.
I have been
investing in equities for over 10 years, and this is one of those few times when
I believe absolutely nobody knows which way the market will go tomorrow. If they
do, they are lying. Unless you can predict what the bail out package will be,
and that it will be approved or not, you cannot bet on the market one way or
another.
So what do individual investors do in this environment? Panic
selling is not the answer. If it were a different time and place, I would
recommend loading up on Apple at $100 and Google at $400. I would recommend
picking up RIMM at $60, US Steel at $70 and AIG under $3. Unfortunately, I can't
recommend opening any long positions here, specially since it is an UP day for
the market and tomorrow may well be another triple digit down day.
So,
if you haven't sold some of your longs today or on the way down these past few
weeks, take some off the table. Otherwise, the best way to play this market is
to buy some short ETFs. SDS, EEV or DOG are some good plays that are down nicely
today after yesterday's huge gains. I would buy those to hedge your portfolio
against another big down day. Remember, some pundits are predicting the Dow to
fall another 1000-2000 points. If that happens (and I am not saying it will),
you will need this hedge.