"It's
just another manic Monday. I wish it was Sunday."
While
I doubt Prince had the stock market in mind when he penned those verses to the
Bangles’ 1986 hit song "Manic Monday," I’m sure many investors could relate to the
sentiment in wake of the markets’ dismal performance on Sept. 29.
Not
only did the Dow drop a record 777.68 points that day, resulting in the Index’s
17th highest percentage loss since 1928, but trading on the NASDAQ
was equally painful, with Monday’s 9.14 percent decline ranking as the third
worst in the 37-year history of the exchange.
The
advance/decline ratios? Don’t ask, because I don’t want to tell — the mere
thought of them makes me shudder, like memories of my attempt to dance the
"Macarena" at a wedding party a few years back. Suffice it to say that one
could find more positives in a campaign ad.
Of
course, the primary reason for panic Monday was the defeat of the Bush
administration’s $700 billion bailout bill for troubled financial firms that
flamed out in the House of Representatives late in the trading day. The
legislation, which President Bush said was needed "as soon as possible" to ward
off "financial panic" eventually passed, in modified form, on Friday.
However,
rather than shooting up like 4th of July fireworks, the markets
fizzled, with the Dow and NASDAQ both falling about 1.5 percent by Friday’s
closing bell. Given that the bailout plan didn’t have a lot of public support
to begin with, I suppose this should have come as no surprise — but it was
still disappointing.
Bailout Bonanza
If
it seems like there have been an inordinate number of private sector bailouts
this year, it’s because there have been. According to the Associated Press, the
federal government has interceded or brokered deals on behalf of troubled
companies five times thus far in 2008 — more than the last 28 years combined.
1932
To
stimulate economic growth, the Hoover administration creates the Reconstruction
Finance Corp.
1933
President
Roosevelt forms the Home Owners' Loan Corp. to stem a rise in foreclosures.
1971
Congress
saves Lockheed Aircraft Corp. (NYSE: LMT) from bankruptcy by guaranteeing $250
million in loans.
1979
Chrysler
Corp. is rescued by the Carter administration with $1.2 billion in subsidized
loans.
1984
The
FDIC provides $4.5 billion to buy bad loans from Continental Illinois National
Bank and Trust.
1989
Congress
establishes the Resolution Trust Corp. to remedy the S&L crisis.
1998
Government
facilitates a $3.6 billion bailout of the Long-Term Capital Management hedge
fund.
2001
Congress
supplies $5 billion in cash and $10 billion in loan guarantees to aid the
airline industry following the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks.
2008
March
16: The Federal Reserve guarantees $29 billion of Bear Stearns' assets in order
to sell the investment bank to J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM)
July
11: Federal authorities take over IndyMac Bank (OTC: IDMC).
Sept.
7: The Treasury Department temporarily takes control of Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM)
and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) and plans to provide $100 billion to each.
Sept.
16: For a 79.9 percent stake in the company, government officials grant an $85
billion loan to American International Group Inc. (NYSE: AIG).
Oct.
4: The $700 billion bailout plan for ailing financial companies initially
proposed by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson is passed by the House and signed
into law by President Bush.
Source –
Associated Press (AP).
The Real Cost of the Bailout
So
how much will the bailout really cost? Well, if you trust Treasury Secretary
Henry Paulson’s figure of $700 billion — and when have our vaunted leaders ever
underestimated the cost of something? — then every man, woman and child in the
United States will need to cough up approximately $2,300 (assuming the Census
Bureau’s estimate of 305,340,390 U.S. residents is correct). If one figures
that only about 1/3 of that population actually pays taxes, however (which is
about average based on IRS statistics), that number shoots to $6,900.
Will Work for Bailout Tax Money
With
thousands of taxpayer dollars needing to go to Wall Street, the recent
disclosure by the Bureau of Labor Statistics that non-farm payroll employment
declined by 159,000 in September is not good news — nor is the fact that the
national unemployment rate held steady at 6.1 percent, a five-year high.
According
to the BLS, "over the past 12 months, the number of unemployed persons has
increased by 2.2 million and the unemployment rate has risen by 1.4 percentage
points."
On
the positive side, wages for production and non-supervisory workers on private
non-farm payrolls rose by three cents an hour, the BLS reported. That amounts
to $1.20 over the course of a 40-hour workweek — enough to buy a third of a
tank of gas in most places.
Who says times are tough?