logo

Hot News show next Hot News

Five Ways To Profit From China’s $585 Billion Stimulus Plan
By: Money Morning   Tuesday, November 11, 2008 12:05 PM
Symbols: GE, RIO
enter symbol
enter search string

Join Blog Network
Alerts by Email
Research Articles
Stock Ranking Changes
submit article

The $585 billion (RMB4 trillion) stimulus package that China announced Sunday may or may not help China’s economy. But with investments in low-income housing, water and energy projects, airports, disaster relief – and $100 billion for new railroads – over the next two years, this financial package provides oodles of opportunities for investors.

There is no doubt China needs infrastructure. Now the world’s fourth-largest economy, China has grown so rapidly that many of its services are stretched beyond belief. Equally, it is not so certain that the government knows what infrastructure to build, or that it can be built, without hopeless corruption. For instance, the Three Gorges Dam became a global watchword for waste and environmental destruction, while the fancy toll roads built between major cities are still very underutilized, because the tolls are too high for all but the rich. In the stimulus package, more than $100 billion is earmarked for railroads, a seemingly 19th Century priority at the beginning of the 21st.

(As Money Morning reported in a market analysis story this past summer, General Electric Co. (GE) said it expects its business in China to double to $10 billion a year by 2010 – making that country a key element of the struggling U.S. industrial giant’s strategy to offset its struggles here in its home market by pursuing business in faster-growing markets abroad. GE also announced that it would be providing China with 300 of its most modern locomotives between now and 2010).

Even if the Chinese economy had slowed sufficiently to warrant stimulus, there was a better way of getting it. For a decade, China has enjoyed unbalanced growth, with excessive rates of savings and investment and inadequate consumption. This has resulted in the huge buildup of Chinese foreign exchange reserves, now more than $1.9 trillion –the largest in the world, both in relation to the economy, and in real terms.

To rebalance the economy and maintain growth, China actually needs more domestic consumption. While Bush-style cuts in high-level income taxes would benefit only the “Chuppies” – China’s newly emergent yuppie class – there are other taxes that bear heavily on the economy and could usefully be cut.




Subscribe to Email Alerts rss feed or RSS feeds rss feed for articles from more than 300 contributors and press releases, SEC filings and full text news from thousands of sources.
(0)
No Comments

Fundamental data is provided by Zacks Investment Research, market data is provided by AlphaTrade. , and Commentary and Press Releases provided by Quotemedia