With Priceline.com Inc. (PCLN) – the
name-your-own-price travel-services player – it’s time to either beam up or buy
in.
Priceline – the online airfare and hotel-booking firm known for its kitschy
TV ad campaign that stars “Star Trek” star William Shatner as “The Negotiator” – is
an interesting possible profit play, thanks to its strong balance sheet and
market muscle in the bargain-hunting end of the travel-services sector, the
financial weekly Barron’s says.
The stock market has already factored in the challenges facing the
travel and retail sectors into Priceline’s stock price,
Reuters and Barron’s both
reported.
According to Barron’s, as the current financial
crisis deepens, consumers are going to devote an increasing amount of time to
their personal and household spending budgets – a point that Money
Morning has repeatedly made as part of its ongoing “Credit Crisis Safety Plays” series. As those consumer concerns
about spending and household budgets increase, Priceline’s name-your-own-price
business will become a bigger draw, Barron’s, the
popular investing weekly, said in its most recent edition.
Barron’s also said Priceline has little debt and
plenty of cash on its balance sheet, including $282 million in free cash flow
this year. At Friday’s closing price of $54.57, Priceline was trading at 8.8
times projected profits for 2009. That’s well below the average Price/Earnings
(P/E) ratio of 21 for Internet retailers, and 9.0-plus for the travel and
leisure sectors, Barron’s reported.
Priceline also has a tendency to report upside earnings surprises. In each of
the past four quarters, the Norwalk, Conn.-based Priceline has beaten analyst
estimates by amounts that range from 9.9% to as much as 27% (Please see
accompanying chart).
Strategy Shift a Major Plus
According to noted travel writer Arthur Frommer, Priceline.com
was largely once just “a rather exotic service meant only for the gamblers among
us – the folks willing to accept the risk of a 6 a.m. flight or an
out-of-the-center hotel.