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LDK Solar Up Strongly on Deal with Q-Cells
By: TraderMark   Monday, December 10, 2007 12:59 PM

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LDK Solar (LDK) released news of a 10 year contract with Q-Cells this AM and the stock is up 15%. This contract is good news on a number of fronts, but not necessarily what you'd think (at least in the near term).

First, Q-Cells is a legitimite big time player in the solar field. Such a long term deal legitimizes LDK Solar over the longer run - not that it necessarily needed legitimization based on how great the underlying business has been, but with the issues raised by it's former controller, the near term had been called into question. One reason I have continued to like LDK Solar for the mid to long term (despite being hesitant in the near term), is the continued march of new contracts by customers - most of which would be doing due diligence on the viability of LDK Solar as a long term partner. So while yes, there might be an overstatement in the gross margins when all is said and done due to 'inventory' count methodology, the revenue line is growing tremendously.

Related, this just continues to help sentiment and as we saw with the Arab infusion of cash into Citigroup (C) - it is not so much the action but simply the message it sends and how it affects sentiment that can drive markets in the near term. Since that infusion of cash the market has made a tremendous 7% type of move overall.

Last, Q-Cells is providing funding to LDK Solar (prepayments on the contract) which will help LDK Solar build out their own polysilicon plant. This reduces the amount of future potential equity dilution/debt facing current LDK Solar holders.

Now in the long run, and probably the reason most people laude this deal is the actual contract and the money that comes with it. This is also a good thing but its unknowable what the exact contract and terms are for the long run since it will be variable over time. But with fixed pricing in 2009-2010, again this is a large benefit to LDK Solar and provides a lot of visibility (one of my favorite things) for the company. But it should be quite a hefty payout over the year and due to the large size should serve as a bedrock to revenue/earnings over the years. Now LDK Solar just needs to find enough polysilicon to fulfill this order!

At this point I hold only a tiny position in LDK Solar, pending the audit results but my near term target was $60, which the stock is already approaching on the large run up last week, followed by this announcement.

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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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