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DPL Comes with Concerns
By: Zacks Investment Research   Thursday, January 10, 2008 8:56 PM

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 Keeping his Hold rating on DPL, Inc. (DPL) shares at this time, Zacks senior utility industry analyst Jon Kolb explains where he sees headwinds for the company in the coming quarters:

'DPL continues to benefit from its stable regulated electric power operations. Moreover, the liquidation of the company's investment portfolio provides sufficient capital for expanding the utility's operating base, reducing debt and interest expense, buying back stock and/or increasing the dividend.

'However, increased purchased power costs, ongoing investigations by the SEC and the IRS, and uncertainty over the successful allocation of new capital toward greater earnings power remain concerns. Accordingly, we maintain a market-neutral HOLD recommendation on DPL common stock with a six-month target price of $31.50. Price appreciation to our near-term valuation target, coupled with the recently increased $0.275 per share quarterly cash dividend, which we deem sustainable and secure, represents annualized total return potential of 14.9%.

'As of the date of this report, DPL trades at 15.7x and 13.0x, respectively, our 2008 and 2009 earnings per share estimates, or at a slight discount to the industry median multiple yet within the range of comparable diversified energy utilities. Meanwhile, relative sales, cash flow and book value multiples indicate either significant premium DPL valuations or at least a valuation at the upper-end of the range of its comparable competitors. Such conflicting valuation metrics, combined with above industry average long-term earnings growth expectations, forecasted year-over-year EPS through 2009, and a competitive dividend yield collectively support a neutral recommendation on the stock noting a bias toward a potential future upgrade.'

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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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