logo

Calamity Averted....
By: Jason Ng   Tuesday, January 22, 2008 11:19 PM

Vote for next session
The next market session will close:


FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
What was shaping up to be a historic 500 points opening to the downside with a possibility of ending the day 1000 points lower, ended up much "better" than expected when the Fed jumped right in with an Emergency Rate Cut of 75 basis points! (1 basis point = 0.01% by the way)This is the BIGGEST emergency rate cut given since 1984! Some analysts think that all Uncle Ben did was to show the state of panic that the regulators are in and some others think that he is catching up with the curve at last. No matter what anyone says, reality speaks for itself with the market pulled back from the edge of calamity. Well, that goes to show that rate cuts do work afterall and that investors are much more savvy compared to the crash of 1987. Investors do recognize that such weak openings are perfect time to be buying as such huge ditches usually heralds a rally. Such expectations in an efficient market has the power to prevent the huge ditch from happening in the first place. Therefore, I think the market action today proves 2 things;
1. Rate cuts always works... its just the magnitude of the cut that matters.
2. The markets are getting more and more efficient as the textbooks suggests.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Yes, the Dow ended in a dragon tail formation day again. A dragon tail formation is an inverted hammer with an extremely long tail occuring at the bottom of a significant draw down. Dragon tail formations are extremely strong reversal signals and needs an up day tomorrow as a follow up in order to confirm. The Dow rallied back on 17 August 2007 on a Dragon Tail formation as well. In fact, this dragon tail formation occured in line with our expectation of a dead cat bounce. With the market this oversold and the multiples plummetted across the board, investors would certainly be accumulating at this point for a few days at least. In fact, this could shape out to be the first up week of 2008.


(0)
No Comments
Post Comment
Name:  
Alert for new comments:
Your email:
Your Website:
Title:
Comments:
   
 
 
 
 
   
 

The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
Advertisement
Popular Articles
Related Press Releases
Advertisement
Partner Center
Recent Articles by Jason Ng



Subscribe to Email Alerts rss feed or RSS feeds rss feed for articles from more than 500 contributors, press releases, SEC filings and full text news from more than four thousand sources.
Fundamental data is provided by Zacks Investment Research, market data is provided by AlphaTrade. , and Commentary and Press Releases provided by Quotemedia