These reviews and analyses have been done assuming a 'buy and hold' approach to investing.  In reality, I practice and advocate a disciplined investment strategy that involves carefully screening stocks for inclusion into a trading portfolio and then managing those investments by limiting losses by quick sales on declines and preserving gains by selling portions of appreciating stocks at targeted appreciation levels.

Some months ago I decided that it would be helpful to start looking at the very earliest entries on this blog to find out how they all turned out.  Hopefully with these analyses we can identify reasons to be selecting stocks and identifying what were the best prognosticators for success.  And not all of these picks have been successful!  

Last weekend I reviewed Westcorp (WES) which was initially posted on May 27, 2003.  The very next day I wrote up Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (KKD) on Stock Picks Bob's Advice.  Let's review that entry and see how KKD is doing today. 

"May 28, 2003

Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (KKD)

The market paused this morning as if it wanted to correct as the bears came out growling....but the bulls resumed their push and the momentum on the upside continues. As I write (10:43 am CST) market up 45 points.

An old favorite of mine, Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, hit the list today. They had a GREAT earnings report today as they continue their explosive revenue and earnings growth....all on the back of a glazed doughnut! (so much for low carb dieting)....earnings reported today with earnings up a strong 47%, their sales rose 34% to $148.7 million from $111.1 million last year.

As reported by the CEO on CNBC this morning same store sales growth continued in the double digit area up about 11% year over year. (These are the stores that have been open at least a year).

On Morningstar we see sales growing from $80.9 million in 1999, $220.2 million in 2000, $300.7 million in 2001, $394.4 million in 2002, and now with a $148 million for the quarter we have about an extrapolated $600 mnillion level for the year 2003 if everything continues at the same rate.

Looking at cash flow we do see a NEGATIVE 34 million number but with all the rest of the figures so good, I guess we can look over this for a good doughnut or two. Maybe with a cup of their new coffee!

I do not at this time own any shares but have in the past and am not planning at this time to purchase new shares.