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Sarcastic Rant on Fannie and Freddie
By: Financial Ninja   Tuesday, March 25, 2008 9:57 AM

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Just a quick update on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac…
They were both DOWN yesterday in an UP market, which has piqued my interest.

Fannie Mae delinquencies jump; portfolio up 1 pct: “Fannie Mae (FNM.N: Quote, Profile, Research), the largest provider of funding for U.S. home mortgages, on Monday said its portfolio edged higher in February while delinquencies jumped in the prior month to more than a decade high.

The government-sponsored enterprise said its mortgage investments increased $594 million to $721.6 billion in February, representing a 1 percent annualized growth rate.

Delinquencies on Fannie Mae's single-family home financing business rose in January to 1.06 percent, the highest since at least 1997. The rate increased from 0.98 percent in December.”

Sure enough, FNM’s portfolio continues to deteriorate RAPIDLY, while they continue to EXPAND it. The delinquency rate of 1.06% doesn’t sound like much. That’s exactly why it was reported that way. More importantly is the RATE OF CHANGE of delinquencies. That is a truly freakish number. Delinquencies increased 8.16% MONTH OVER MONTH.

A delinquency rate of 0.98 resulted in $3.6 billion in losses in the fourth quarter. What do you suppose a delinquency rate of 1.06% will result in? Especially if those continue to increase at anywhere near 8%?

FNM would have to IMPLODE.

“Fannie Mae's business of guaranteeing payments on mortgage-backed securities it issues grew at a torrid pace in February. The company said it issued $69.4 billion in the securities in the month, marking a 21.4 percent annualized growth rate.”

In the meantime, taking on more risk is probably not the cleverest thing to do.

Federal Home Loan Banks May Buy $150 Billion of Bonds (Update3): “Federal Home Loan Banks were freed to increase their purchase of mortgage-backed bonds by about $150 billion as part of a government effort to pump money back into a market that slumped as the housing crisis deepened.

Directors of the Federal Housing Finance Board, the banks' regulator, approved the temporary increase today, according to an e-mailed statement.

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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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