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Calling It Quits on Gold, Platinum...Go Financials! - May 6 2008 1:29AM
By: Every Day Finance   Tuesday, May 06, 2008 1:29 AM

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Well, the trend is your friend and the trend I've been seeing is a bubble deflating in some commodities, especially gold and platinum. After continued weekly declines in my 2X Gold ETF DGP and the Stillwater Mining (SWC), which derives a substantial portion of revenues from platinum, I decided to throw in the towel. I do believe that we are in a long term trend upward for several commodities - oil, gold, soft and hard, but I think some of them have gone so far so fast, that there's more downside than upside in the short term. I still hold SU, a Canadian tar sands company and I will likely buy back in on a dip on a 1x basis, but the leveraged 2x funds should really be for trading, not long term investing, given the added pain they can bring on the way down.

A few weeks back, I entered into some synthetic options plays on oil and I started to get nervous as it approached $120 per barrel that I was going to get toasted, but at $112, oil's actually below the price where I started the position ($113), so things are moving in the right direction there.

To capture some gains, I sold a few shares of Google after a nice runup and my oil play banking on a downward move has payed off.

Financials continue to perform well. My only regret is that I didn't buy more. UYG, the 2X sector ETF was up another 8% today to previous highs. AFN in the self-directed IRA is holding up as well. Citi preferred shares would have been nice, but I didn't make the move in time.



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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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