Small Companies With Great Growth: AMED, AEHR
Mark Perkins sends: Strong
sustainable growth going forward, without an over-valued stock price, is a great
trait to find in a company. The two below would fit the criteria of what Martin
Zweig looked for. He is a famous stock-picker who’s service “The Zweig Forecast”
was the best advisory service for the 15 year period between 1980 and 1995. A
screen tracked by a non-profit investor organization that follows Zweig’s
approach toward good sales and earnings growth combined with reasonable PE
ratios and relative price performance has returned a cumulative 2,107% from 1998
to March 2008. That is compared to a 36% cumulative return from the S&P 500.
Amedisys (AMED) is a $1.3 billion dollar company that provides home and
hospice health services to the aging American population. They have 442
Medicare-certified home health agencies and 38 Medicare-certified hospice
agencies. 88% of their revenue is from Medicare. In March of this year they
bought TLC Health Care Services that operated home nursing and hospice services
in 21 states.
They just raised full year earnings guidance to $2.70 - $2.80 a share on the
strength of the first quarter. First quarter earnings were up 24%. I believe
earnings in the years going forward can easily grow between 15-20% a year. The
shares look more attractive to me on any pull-back with the current enterprise
value to trailing twelve month (TTM) free cash flow (EV/FCF) at 31 and going for
20 X EPS. It looks like a good buy in the mid $40s or lower.

Aehr Test Systems (AEHR) with a market cap of only $70 million really stands
out. They are a supplier of semiconductor test and burn-in equipment. Sales were
up 89% and earnings a whopping 600% quarter over quarter. With this news in the
backdrop the stock is up over 40% over the last 3 months. The driver of growth
has been the FOX(TM)-1 full wafer parallel test systems and full wafer test
contactors. The FOX-1 full wafer tester can test an entire wafer in a single
touchdown offering significant cost savings advantages for conventional testers.
They just received acceptance for the FOX-15 wafer-level burn-in system and they
believe it will be a catalyst for future growth.
The only thing here I am not over-joyed to see is that sales to their 5
biggest customers accounted for about 81.8% of sales in the quarter. The stock
has also had a big run-up recently and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a
pull-back before it goes higher. It is hard to believe but Aehr trades for 14x
TTM EPS with earnings growth going forward over 40%. The stock has net tangible
assets of $3.52 per share and a nice balance sheet with no long-term debt.

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