Major Economics and Stock Market Stories for Friday
By:
Zman Friday, June 06, 2008 11:50 AM
Yesterday was a pretty good day. Ya know, the more things go up, the more we get accustomed to big numbers. In the mid 1990s, a 10 point move up in the Nasdaq Composite was a monster day. Now 50 point swings get barely a raised eyebrow. And just two years ago, a $1 move in crude was a news headline. Yesterday crude scored its largest ever one day dollar gain … after the chorus of traders calling for a top in crude prices reached a deafening crescendo on CNBC. This is all noise. But it did lead to large gains in the E&P and Oil Service names (sorry refiners but it wasn't your day). As you know I don't give advice but I'll tell you what I remind myself when my portfolio hits record high after record high and the Robb Report starts looking interesting. I tell myself, "self, don't get used to these gains, and moreover, don't become complacent about them. You speculate in energy related equity options, and those are wasting assets; take profits, and buy them back lower … later."
In Today's Post:
- Holdings Watch - busy day
- Commodity Watch
- Stocks We Care About Today - CHK updates Haynesville activities, CXO buys Permian reserves
- Odds & Ends
Holdings Watch: The Performance and Wiki tabs are updated.
- (NFX) - Bought the NFX $65 September calls (NFXIM) for $5.40. I'll hold them for Mancos and Bakken well news. I also hold the July $70 calls here which may or may not go out the door before I leave town later this month.
- (NBR) - Bought the NBR $42.50 June Calls (NBRFV) for $1.45 for a quick trade as the stock was breaking out. Will not hold onto these for long but am likely to continue to play in and out of the name around a core position in July and soon to be longer dated calls.
- (HK) - Sold the HK July $30 Calls (HKGF) for $4.80, up 300%
- (CLR) - Sold the CLR July $65 Calls (CLRGM for $7.10, up 87%
- (HAL) - Sold the HAL June $47.50 Calls (HALFW) for $2.30, up 28%. I continue to hold the June $50 (not for long) and July $50 calls here.
Commodity Watch:
- Crude Oil closed up $5.49 at $127.79 yesterday. A weaker dollar and renewed rumors of U.S. plans to attack Iran fueled prices at first and then technicals and short covering rode the rally higher. This morning oil is trading up $2 to $3 and above the $130 mark and I would bet the broader market will take notice (fall) if these prices prove sustainable through the day.
- Saudi Watch: Saudiaramco says it plans to expand its refined product capacity by 80% in the next five years via a string of JV's with IOC's.
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