China’s exports advanced at a 28% pace in May, despite growing economic
turbulence in the United States and Europe, underscoring yet again that the
Asian giant doesn’t need Western markets to flourish.
The strong export growth should also give China’s central bank more room to
maneuver in its battle against escalating inflation at home.
After growing 21.9% in April, Chinese exports climbed 28.1% to $120.5 billion
last month, China’s customs bureau reported. Exports to the United States grew
9.1% in the first five months of year, while exports to the European Union
climbed 27.4%.
The increases demonstrate that global demand for Chinese goods remains
strong, even though many Western markets are battling the fallout of a worldwide
financial crisis. Indeed, the export statistics are serving as evidence of an
economic theory known as “decoupling,” in which emerging economies in Asia and Europe have
developed enough market place muscle to no longer be dependent on the U.S.
economy for growth.
And “decoupled” markets can survive - and even thrive - even if the United
States were to spiral down into a recession.
The report “suggests that those saying that exports are collapsing are
wrong,” Stephen Green, head of China research at Standard Chartered Bank PLC
in Shanghai, said in a report.
Trade did grow with the more mature economies of the West. But China got its
biggest boost from such emerging markets as India. Two-way trade with India
increased by 70% in the first five months of 2008, the fastest rate of growth
among China’s Top 10 trading partners.
China is also forging stronger ties with Latin America. In 2004, Chinese
President Hu Jintao predicted that Sino-Latin American trade would reach $100
billion by 2010.
In reality, it reached $102.6 billion in 2007, surging 42% from the year
before.
The fact that Chinese exports have more than weathered the global financial
storm is a huge blow for critics who had earlier predicted this credit-related
mess would cause China to stumble.
China’s economy grew by 10.6% in the first quarter of 2008, despite
complications stemming from the U.S. credit crunch, the Chinese New Year and the
worst ice storm the country had seen in decades.
“We have a lot of evidence to support the decoupling view,” Timothy Bond,
Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc.’s (MER) chief
Asia economist, said in a research note.
Indeed, the recent surge in exports is proof that China will continue to
advance - with all but a complete collapse of the U.S. economy.