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IBM - Head and Shoulders.
By: Prudent Speculation   Wednesday, June 18, 2008 5:03 PM

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I had some problems with blogger today and not being the most technologically savvy cat around I accidentally deleted my morning post entitled What's with the Doom and Gloom. It is just as well as I am going to cut back on the rants and focus my mental capital on more important things such as the charts and as rising equity balance in my trading accounts.

That being said I want to bring your attention to an institutional darling IBM (chart above). I always watch what the "nifty 50" are doing as it is just a matter of habit and IBM is one of these. Notice the attractive head and shoulders position formed with a clearly visible neckline evident at $123. Now, I have a healthy short in the Dow via my 3 unit long position in the Ultrashort Dow ticker DXD.
Another institutional favourite is General Electric ticker GE (chart above) which I commented quite negatively on in my post GE Govern Yourself Accordingly in which I outlined the bearish technical case on GE's pattern. Nothing has changed in that regard and the activity of late has only solidified the bear case on GE. GE broke $31 which looks like small potatoes on the daily (above) but is mucho significant on the monthly.
Do you notice anything suspicious developing here in this market, whereby traditional safe havens are no longer safe anymore? Regular readers know I have feel the the game has changed significantly. In my post, The Old Playbook back in February summarizes my feelings on the subject. GE is a prime example of hedge fund valets and the like, like trained seals, buying the safe, defensive, big cap, multi-national, yield stocks.
Look around at GE, AIG, the drugs PFE, and MRK, health care like WPT and HUM. Something seems amiss? Isn't this supposed to be the safe place to hide. I am no rocket scientist and can assure you NASA is not in my near or distant future other than a visitors pass at the Kennedy Space Center, but what is wrong with cash? What is wrong with precious metals or commodities. And above all what the heck is wrong with CASH ?
My grandfather used to tell me no one likes 3% til they have lost 30%, then they'll beg for 3%. The same people who owned JDS Uniphase, Qualcomm and Nortel steer clear of the precious metals, base metals and the ags. Go figure.

Housekeeping notes;
I was filled on a 2nd unit short of Brinker ticker EAT at $18.98 which now leaves me with 2 units short on the venerable eatery. Great ticker, lousy biz given the state of housing and the U.S. consumer.

I was stopped out of 1 unit long position in U.S. Heating Oil fund at $60.85 for a gain of about 2 3/4pts for a small gain. Which is just as well given the volatility in the sector and the thinness of UHN trading.
In an effort to further protect profits on positions I am moving the following stops;
Moving stop down on Daimler ticker DAI to $70.12
Moving stop up on US Gasoline fund ticker UGA to $62.54

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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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