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H&R Block
By: Jeff Kohler   Monday, June 30, 2008 12:21 PM

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Instead of celebrating greatness this morning over a pile of victories, I am watching the e-mails stack up in regards to the debacle over H&R Block. Stop it.

In case you missed the trade, here is a recap below...

I bought H&R Block (HRB) puts. A lot of them. July 20's @ $0.65. This stock will break hard, and I am anticipating that break right here. Watch the news.

Target price: $19.50

Time Target: Around 2 weeks at the most.

Note: That volume is Sick.

H&R Block happened to trade as low as $20.40 in anticipation of this event, and the July 20 puts traded as high as $1.25. In fact, towards the close of business on the date of purchase, I recommended taking profits on half the position (@$1.10) and letting the rest run over earnings. Taking profits after a 100% return is not a bad idea, especially with earnings around the corner. As we are all aware, holding a position over an earnings announcement is a pure gamble, and not something you should do with an inappropriate position size. Those who haven't learned this lesson probably figured this out today. There is never a risk worth taking that involves taking a bigger position than you should be taking.

Don't worry. Once HRB makes its way below $22, then it will get to $21 in a hurry. I am leaving my position on, and will probably make back a portion of the loss, but doubt it will get back above my purchase price ($0.65).

Now if we can please move forward, why don't we talk about the winners?

Anything Agriculture?

Anything Coal

Calls...

CLF: +9%

ATW: +4.6%

GMXR: +7.5%

CHK: +4.6%

SFY: +6.1%

ANR: +3.3%

BTU: +3.6%

ENER: +3.4%

CRK: +4.5%

 

Puts...

XL: -7.7%

CMG: -5.7%

PENN: -2.3%

SHLD: -2.3%

FAST: -2.4%

ICE: -2.7%

OMG: -2.9%

TIF: -2.8%

In fact, I am known among my critics as the guy who likes to focus on the positive. That's just how I roll. Hopefully some of these winners are helping to make the HRB mess this morning easier to cope with.


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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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