logo

Dave Fry's Market Comments for July 15
By: Dave Fry   Tuesday, July 15, 2008 7:21 PM

Vote for next session
The next market session will close:

Senator Jim Bunning threw a strike right down the plate with his excoriation of Bernanke & Co and the Fed today. Bernanke offered no response. But Hall of Famer Bunning still knows how to pitch that’s for sure. [Some say he isn’t right mentally but he was throwing strikes today and sounded the sanest of the bunch.]

The rest of the pols just mumbled the same garbage while a couple of spotlight seekers [you know who they are] wanted to discuss short-selling and speculation. I guess they only want to discuss the latter when things aren’t going their way.

But, Bunning has things right.

“I'm deeply concerned about what the Fed has done in the last year and in the last decade. Chairman Greenspan's easy money in the late 90s and then following the tech bust inflated the housing bubble and created the mess we are in today. Chairman Bernanke's easy money in the last year has undermined the dollar and sent oil to a new high every day and an almost doubling since the rate cuts started.



The Fed is asking for more power but the Fed has proven that they can not be trusted with the power they have. They get it wrong, do not use it, or stretch it farther than it was supposed to go in the first place. As I said a moment ago, their monetary policy is the leading cause of the mess we are in. As regulators, it took until yesterday to use the power we gave them in 1994 to regulate all mortgage lenders and then they stretched their authority by buying $29 billion worth of Bear Stearns assets so J.P. Morgan could buy Bear Stearns at a deep discount.

Now the Fed wants to be a systemic risk regulator, but the Fed is a systemic risk. Giving the Fed more power is like giving a neighborhood kid who broke a window playing baseball on the street a bigger bat and thinking that will fix the problem.”

Amen, brother!

The other big news today was oil prices dropping nearly 5% today. I think you have to expect this kind of volatility at these prices. Will consumers be encouraged by this? Hardly.

Today’s volume and breadth data reflect a market favoring a few big names while most issues are falling.




Stocks rallied on the oil price drops but by the end of trading still couldn’t overcome other prevailing problems.














































































































The markets are oversold. In an environment like this they can stay that way longer than most expect. It is a bear market but rallies, sometimes breathtaking, happen as well. So, if you’re not short already, you would be taking chances initiating fresh positions here. There will be plenty of pundits trying to get you to bottom pick their offerings. Be very careful in that regard.

I think Senator Bunning acquitted himself well today and Bernanke’s silence was telling. Bush made a horrible presentation today but public speaking has never been his strong suit. I didn’t listen to Paulson & Co.

Have a pleasant evening.

Disclaimer: Among other issues the ETF Digest maintains long or short positions in: SPY, SDS, MZZ, IWM, TWM, QQQQ, QLD, XLY, SCC, XLI, SIJ, IYR, SRS, GLD, DBP, DBA, DAG, EFA, EFU, EEM, EEV, EWJ, EWV, EWZ, RSX, FXI and FXP.

(0)
No Comments
Post Comment
Name:  
Alert for new comments:
Your email:
Your Website:
Title:
Comments:
   
 
 
 
 
   
 

The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
Advertisement
Popular Articles
Related Press Releases
Advertisement
Partner Center
Recent Articles by Dave Fry



Subscribe to Email Alerts rss feed or RSS feeds rss feed for articles from more than 500 contributors, press releases, SEC filings and full text news from more than four thousand sources.
Fundamental data is provided by Zacks Investment Research, market data is provided by AlphaTrade. , and Commentary and Press Releases provided by Quotemedia