logo

VIX and Volatility
By: George Spritzer   Friday, July 25, 2008 1:38 AM

Vote for next session
The next market session will close:

I sometimes use the VIX as a gauge of fear/volatility in the marketplace. Generally a high VIX value greater than 30 or a value significantly higher to where it had been trading in the recent past, can help signal a market bottom. The VIX measures implied volatility on S&P500 index options.

But in recent months, it seems that there is much greater volatility diversity within the S&P500 index. There have been many days where the S&P500 was relatively flat, but financials were down big and energy stocks up big (or vice versa).

Today was another example where the S&P index hid the fear in the market. The S&P500 was down 2.31%, but this number masked some tremendous down moves, not just in small caps, but in large Dow Jones stocks.

Seven out of 30 Dow stocks had losses of 5% or higher today:
General Motors -11.08%
Citigroup -9.75%
Amer Int Group -8.87%
Bank Of America -8.37%
Amer. Express -7.45%
JP Morgan -6.72%
Boeing -6.28%

The XLF is an ETF for a group of financial stocks. I checked a few of the XLF near term options.
XLF closed at 20.95.
The August 21 XLF call has an implied volatility of 61. The put is 60.
The Sept. 21 XLF call has an implied volatility of 51. The put is 55.

I think these numbers reflect the fear in the market place today better than the VIX.

(0)
No Comments
Post Comment
Name:  
Alert for new comments:
Your email:
Your Website:
Title:
Comments:
   
 
 
 
 
   
 

The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
Advertisement
Popular Articles
Related Press Releases
Advertisement
Partner Center
Recent Articles by George Spritzer



Subscribe to Email Alerts rss feed or RSS feeds rss feed for articles from more than 500 contributors, press releases, SEC filings and full text news from more than four thousand sources.
Fundamental data is provided by Zacks Investment Research, market data is provided by AlphaTrade. , and Commentary and Press Releases provided by Quotemedia