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I didn’t see this coming, but I should have!
By: Tyler Savery   Monday, July 28, 2008 2:08 PM

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As an investor in both Sirius and Xm, I was very concerned with the drop in price following an exceptional quarterly report and subsequent SEC filings relating to an Xm debt offering. What we are seeing today is a common arbitrage play with regard to convertible debt offerings called convertible arbitrage. Such offerings are open invite to short the common stock against the debt.

In the Goldman Sachs report, they expected the debt offering to be over 1 billion dollars. Giving credit where credit is due, they saw this coming. However, the offering today is for only half the amount Goldman’s analyst Mark Wienkes expected, at only 550 million, which may suggest the stock’s decline may be short lived and over-exaggerated.

A company executive said that the offering is neccessary for the completion of the merger and relates to xm’s refinancing needs. He also noted that as yet, there has yet been no official press release nor any paperwork signed regarding the merger at the FCC, and that it was expected to close by the end of business today.

Also of importance is that the company believes that the NAB will not be filing for a stay of the FCC decision.

Position: Long Siri, Xmsr


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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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