Remember a time when jobs flocked overseas and everything we bought was from
China, India, South America, or Japan? Well folks, you’re about to see a
reversal of that. In fact, we’re already seeing signs of it. Why? It’s simple:
the value of the American dollar has fallen so far that foreigners now want to
buy our products because they are so cheap. What does this mean for us, as
investors? It means now is the time to buy undervalued manufacturers of
specialized products.
As is common in the
FIPortfolios.com Small Cap
Momentum model portfolio, we have picked one of the finest
companies to benefit from this change in economic momentum. This company is
called Hardinge Inc. (NasdaqGS: HDNG).
About Hardinge
Hardinge engages in the design,
manufacture, distribution, and marketing of computer controlled metal-cutting
lathes, machining centers, grinding machines, collets, chucks, indexing
fixtures, and other industrial products. Hardinge provides its services to
aerospace, automotive, construction equipment, defense, energy, farm equipment,
medical equipment, recreational equipment, telecommunications, and
transportation industries, as well as to small and medium-sized independent job
shops.
Hardinge currently sells its products in the United States, Canada, China,
Germany, and the United Kingdom, through distributors, independent agents,
manufacturer’s representatives and through its direct sales force (only in
U.S.). Hardinge was founded in 1890.
Competition
Hardinge has several competitors, but the
most prominent competitor is Hurco Companies (NasdaqGS: HURC). Hurco has a
slight advantage over its user interface to the machining tools, but its product
line is far less diversified that that of Hardinge. In addition, Hardinge pays a
dividend and has been around for nearly 70 years longer than Hurco, which was
founded in 1968. The biggest difference, and the one that made me choose
Hardinge over Hurco for the Small
Cap Momentum model portfolio, was the global sales channels that
Hardinge has. Hurco has no such thing.
Valuation
Hardinge is fairly valued with a
price-to-earnings ratio of around 20 (ttm), which is average for the industry.
What I really like about Hardinge, though, is their price-to-earnings growth
ratio, which is just under 0.5. With their global sales channels, Hardinge has
the potential for growing significantly and meeting the global demand for heavy
machinery
Why a devalued dollar will help Hardinge
Imagine you were
a country flush with dollars from the high-flying days of exports to the US. Now
imagine those dollars are declining rapidly with no end in sight. What do you do
with those dollars? You could trade them to other countries for goods, but they
don’t want a rapidly depreciating asset. So that’s off the table. What else
could you do with those dollars? Aha! You could buy American products, because
they will readily accept those dollars. And you might as well buy products that
increase the productivity of your country. Enter Hardinge. You will almost
certainly see sales ramping up in the next few quarters (and years) for
Hardinge; especially since products can be manufactured locally in your home
country, thanks to their global manufacturing and sales channels.
Add this to the fact that Hardinge is trading at an incredibly low price as
compared to its stock value in the past 5 years, and you have a winning
combination.
Dividend Record and Rate
As if that wasn’t enough,
Hardinge also provides a dividend to its shareholders. This dividend has been
paid out every quarter since 1995. In 2005, the dividend was increased 300% and
in 2006 it was increased again by nearly 70%. Sitting at $0.20 per share right
now, the yield is a respectable 1.2%. With increasing revenue and
earnings-per-share expected in the future, this dividend will likely increase
again in 2009.