logo

The Wagner Daily - August 4, 2008
By: Deron Wagner   Monday, August 04, 2008 9:15 AM

Vote for next session
The next market session will close:

Bearish momentum from the previous afternoon's weakness caused the major indices to move lower last Friday morning, but stocks found support and stabilized after the first hour of trading. Preferring to be non-committal ahead of the weekend, traders kept the main stock market indexes in a choppy, sideways range throughout the rest of the day. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.5%, as both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite declined 0.6%. Continued relative strength in small-caps enabled the Russell 2000 to eke out a gain of 0.2%, benefiting our position in Ultra Russell 2000 ProShares (UWM). The S&P Midcap 400 closed lower, but only by 0.2%. For the week, the main stock market indexes all finished near the flat line.

The most positive aspect of last Friday's session is that the market's losses occurred on lighter turnover. Total volume in the NYSE eased 10%, while volume in the Nasdaq was 4% lower than the previous day's level. Despite choppy price action last week, the stock market's volume patterns clearly remained bullish. Last week, the S&P 500 only advanced in two of the five days, but both sessions were "accumulation days" that showed institutional buying. Similarly, all three days of losses were accompanied by lower volume. Higher volume on the "up" days, and lower volume on the "down" days, is one sign of a market that is healthy "under the hood." by advancing on higher volume.

One ETF that has showed bullish divergence to the broad market recently is the Broadband HOLDR (BDH), which stealthily climbed 3.2% last week. BDH is comprised of a basket of 17 stocks related to the computer and mobile networking industry, although Qualcomm (QCOM) currently represents a weighting of more than 50%. Not only has BDH been showing relative strength, but the daily and weekly charts are both positioned for breakouts. First, take a look at the daily chart of BDH:

Right-click here to download pictures. To help protect your privacy, Outlook prevented automatic download of this picture from the Internet.

The dashed horizontal line on the chart above marks resistance of the prior highs of BDH, just over the $14.50 level. Last Thursday, BDH tested that resistance level, but pulled back slightly when the major indices sold off. Nevertheless, the ETF held up pretty well against the broad market weakness, so the slightest rally in the major indices this week should enable BDH to break out above the horizontal price resistance level shown above. Next, check out its longer-term weekly chart:

Right-click here to download pictures.</div
Next Page >>12

(0)
No Comments
Post Comment
Name:  
Alert for new comments:
Your email:
Your Website:
Title:
Comments:
   
 
 
 
 
   
 

The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
Advertisement
Popular Articles
Related Press Releases
Advertisement
Partner Center
Recent Articles by Deron Wagner



Subscribe to Email Alerts rss feed or RSS feeds rss feed for articles from more than 500 contributors, press releases, SEC filings and full text news from more than four thousand sources.
Fundamental data is provided by Zacks Investment Research, market data is provided by AlphaTrade. , and Commentary and Press Releases provided by Quotemedia