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Inflation Looks High, But May Have Peaked
By: Jordan Kahn   Thursday, August 14, 2008 1:45 PM

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The market opened under a bit of pressure, after the most recent inflation report sparked concerns about the economy. But inflation is a lagging indicator, and with economic growth slowing around the globe, and energy prices coming down well off their highs, it is likely that inflation has peaked for the time being.

As this realization set in, the market has bounced back, and the Nasdaq is up nearly +1.0% currently. Homebuilders and bank stocks are leading the way, while energy shares are lower after profit taking from the recent rally.

The July CPI index climbed +5.6% yr/yr, but when you exclude food and energy, the core CPI rose +2.5% yr/yr, still higher than the consensus of +2.4%.

There was a small flurry of merger news this am. Wells Fargo (WFC) said it was buying Century Banchsares, Skechers (SKX) offered to buy Heelys (HLYS), and UnionBanCal (UB) refused a $63 buyout offer from Mitsubishi UFJ Financial.

In earnings news, Wal-Mart (WMT), Smuckers (SJM), and Urban Outfitters (URBN) all topped expectations, and are helping the retail stocks bounce.

Asian markets were mixed overnight, with Japan lower but several other markets higher. Oil is higher so far this morning, adding to yesterday's gains. The dollar is also a bit stronger vs. the Yen and the Euro. And the 10-year yield is steady at 3.90%.

long QLD

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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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