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Indexes Roll Over on Increased Volume

 August 20, 2008 10:42 AM


Once again stocks were unable to gain any sort of traction around their respective moving averages.  Although volume was below the 50dma moving average we still notched a distribution day across the board.  Distribution Day count is now up to 4 days for the S&P500, NYSE Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial average while the NASDAQ has one.  It has been clear that the NASDAQ has been the leader this confirmed market rally, but with it unable to sustain its 200dma and notching a distribution day the skies have begun to darken.  At this point in the market I simply can not find stocks that I can build a long term position to notch a 1000% gain, not even 100%.  Volume remains low and with weak price action my confidence in this market is extremely low.

[Related -How This Bull Market Resembles The Nasdaq Rally After The Dot-com Crash]

I would love a new bull market, I want a bull market but I am not going to force myself to trade like this is a new bull market.  I do not crave action like most in the market, I have the ability to sit tight and wait for the "moment" and jump in.   It is like the hunter stalking its pray, he does not exert chasing his pray but waiting for the right opportunity, the moment to attack.  At this market juncture, its not the time to be chasing gains.  You will wear your account thin and will be under capitalized for the next bull market.

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