logo

The Wagner Daily - September 8, 2008
By: Deron Wagner   Monday, September 08, 2008 8:53 AM

Vote for next session
The next market session will close:

Bearish momentum from the market's September 4 plunge spilled over into the morning of last Friday's session, but stocks later stabilized and reversed, enabling the major indices to finish with mixed results. The S&P 500, down 1.5% at its morning low, rallied to finish with a 0.4% gain. The Dow Jones Industrial Average similarly bounced 0.3%. The Nasdaq Composite settled with a 0.1% loss, but the index was actually down 1.9% at its worst level of the day. The small-cap Russell 2000 was unchanged, as the S&P Midcap 400 advanced 0.4%. After reversing from near-term "oversold" conditions in the morning, each of the main stock market indexes closed the day near its intraday high. Nevertheless, all the major indices registered sharp losses for the week.

Total volume in both the NYSE and Nasdaq slipped 4% below the previous day's levels. Still, trading remained above average levels for a second straight day. Market internals were very ugly in the beginning of the day, but improved substantially as the day progressed. By the closing bell, advancing volume in the NYSE had narrowly exceeded declining volume by a margin of 3 to 2. The Nasdaq adv/dec volume ratio remained marginally negative.

After nearly a month of choppy, range-bound trading, the broad market decisively broke lower, below key support levels, on September 4. While this may have been bad news for traditional "buy and hold" investors, it was good news for astute short- and intermediate-term traders who focus on profiting from market trends in either direction. Stocks followed up that major sell-off by closing flat to marginally higher the following day (last Friday). Going into today, this sequence of price action initially positioned the main stock market indexes for a bounce into new resistance of their prior lows from August, which they fell below last week. But just when the stock market was about to present us with ideal short-sale opportunities, the Fed curiously announced, over the weekend, that troubled mortgage lenders Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will be taken over by the U.S. government. Upon reacting to this interesting news, the S&P and Nasdaq futures markets rocketed nearly 3% higher on Sunday evening, and have been hanging out around those levels overnight. Unless something substantially changes over the next few hours, all the major indices will open 2% to 3% higher today.

In last Friday's commentary, we said we would analyze the charts of the main stock market indexes today, in order to determine the most ideal short entry points in the coming week. However, as of now, the major indices are already poised to open well above their resistance levels of the August lows. The S&P and Dow are even positioned to open above their 20 and 50-day moving averages. Obviously, the Fed pretty much threw a wrench in our clear plan, and there was no way to anticipate such action.


Next Page >>12

(0)
No Comments
Post Comment
Name:  
Alert for new comments:
Your email:
Your Website:
Title:
Comments:
   
 
 
 
 
   
 

The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
Advertisement
Popular Articles
Related Press Releases
Advertisement
Partner Center
Recent Articles by Deron Wagner



Subscribe to Email Alerts rss feed or RSS feeds rss feed for articles from more than 500 contributors, press releases, SEC filings and full text news from more than four thousand sources.
Fundamental data is provided by Zacks Investment Research, market data is provided by AlphaTrade. , and Commentary and Press Releases provided by Quotemedia