
Since
BioScrip Inc. ("BIOS" or the "Company") released Q2 08 results, I've had the
chance to communicate with other investors and it has become apparent that many
share my displeasure with management and the Company's current direction.
What's been particularly frustrating is that management and the Board have yet
to devise any real benchmarks or even long-term guidance on what investors can
expect in terms of operating results. Since BIOS has a fixed cost structure,
minor changes in business results can have substantial impacts on EPS making the
final result very volatile and thus difficult for the market to get comfortable
in approximating a fair value for the Company. In addition, given the Company's
CEO - Rich Friedman - and his horrific track record in terms of performance and
compensation, investors have every right to hold off from making meaningful
investments in the Company until Friedman can prove he can consistently generate
profits. Given my conversations with other investors, it is becoming
increasingly apparent that leaving Friedman in charge is a recipe for disaster
and that BIOS could generate far more value if a strategic buyer purchased it.
I believe investors are willing to vote their shares if a strategic buyer
approaches BIOS with a fair offer. The following is a brief review of where
BIOS investors currently are and more importantly, what BIOS could be worth if a
strategic buyer purchased the Company.
Charts I and II
clearly illustrate that BIOS has been run into the ground. Through YTD 2008,
BIOS is the worst performing stock in its peer group and since public inception
in 1996, BIOS has been the worst performing stock of its peer group. In fact,
as of today's market close, BIOS has hardly outperformed companies like Wachovia
Corporation ("WB") through 2008, further indicating how pathetically managed
BIOS is given the financial tsunami impacting the financial sector.
CHART I: BIOS VS PEERS 1996-2008 YTD

CHART II: BIOS VS PEERS 2008 YTD

Note: Values tied to legend are immaterial and result of pointer
over certain values during pasting of charts (i.e. CVS 29.54 value in 1996-08
YTD chart)
The Company's pitiful performance has largely been the result of Friedman's
stewardship. Despite the long-term history of value destruction, Friedman has
managed to keep his job and prosper in the face of these dreadful returns. Even
worse is that Friedman and the Board have established a steady transfer of
wealth from investors to themselves. Chart III presents Friedman's compensation
relative to BIOS investors in recent years while Table I presents the laughable
fees paid to the Company's Board. The Company's Board Members have made just
four open market purchases of BIOS stock since 2005 further demonstrating a
complete lack of confidence in BIOS and Friedman along with a lack of interest
in the Company. Given this lack of interest, it's no surprise that items like
audit fees are out of control and comparable to those of much larger peers.
After all, BIOS management and its Board have no stake that they have actually
purchased in the Company so why should they care?
CHART III: FRIEDMAN'S "RETURNS" VS BIOS INVESTORS

Note: Total comp for 2008 assumes a 15% increase based on 2008
salary increase over 2007; 2007 total comp increased by 96% so a 15% estimate is
not unreasonable
TABLE I: BIOS BOARD FEES

Have the BIOS Board Members earned a penny of their fees in looking out for
investors? They've let a CEO with a horrible track record continue at the helm
while pocketing hefty fees for a few meetings that have done nothing to benefit
investors. Given the gross negligence and mismanagement of BIOS the only viable
way to generate value for shareholders is to pursue a sale of the Company.
What's more, it's important for investors to be proactive in voicing that they
are open to a sale to a strategic buyer because the Q2 08 conference call
clearly indicates that management has no intention of selling BIOS. The
following is an exchange at the end of the Q2
Conference Call:
"Amit Sanghrajka (Chokshi) –
KinaRoss (Kinnaras) Capital Management:And just have you guys ever over the past
few years, I mean given the growth in that Specialty Services business, as any
buyer ever approached you guys. It is something where this looks like it would
have value to someone. Has there ever been anyone approaching you guys whether
it is a strategic or financial buyer?
Richard Friedman: We are not going
to comment on that.
Amit Sanghrajka – KinaRoss Capital Management:
No.
Richard Friedman: I am not going to comment on
that.
Operator:Thank you. Mr. Friedman, there are no more questions at
this time. You may continue with your presentation or closing
remarks."
Rather than be upfront about any previous approaches by
strategic or financial buyers, Friedman chose to not comment on a question that
would at least provide investors insight on how strategic buyers could value
BIOS. That makes perfect sense because for years Friedman, his management team,
and Board have transferred shareholder wealth to themselves without doing
anything to generate returns for investors. There is no incentive for Friedman
to let go of this scheme since his cronies reward him no matter what the results
of the operations are, and therefore, if any potential acquirer approaches BIOS
via management or the Board, it's likely that Friedman would turn the offer down
in any capacity and would not disclose this to investors. His curt answer to my
question during the conference call clearly illustrates he has little interest
in having anyone focus on the possibility of a take out by a third party since
it would jeopardize the continuation of his exorbitant and clearly undeserved
compensation.
As a result, it's become clear that investors need to work
together to make potential buyers realize that the Company can be purchased
irrespective of any posturing by Friedman and the Board. I've put together some
cursory data on how one could value BIOS and what a potential acquirer could pay
for the Company and these M&A comparables should illustrate that BIOS would
be worth far more to a strategic buyer than continuing on as an independent
company with Friedman running it into the ground.
TABLE II: HEALTHCARE SERVICES AND PBM M&A COMPS

As the M&A comps indicate, BIOS would be worth considerably more than the
current share price of roughly $2.77. However, using the various median and
mean values really doesn't provide the right type of insight for valuing the
Company. Using mean and median figures, EV/Sales metrics would imply BIOS could
be purchased for over $20.00, EV/EBITDA figures would imply a valuation of
roughly $6.00, and EPS multiples would imply a valuation of $4.00 so on the
surface these comparables don't tell us much. The reason for this confusion is
due to BIOS's large cost structure and how that ties to the mean and median
figures of the M&A comps. The M&A comps basically imply that a business
like BIOS, with $1.28B in LTM revenue should have EBITDA margins of 6-7% not the
1.3% margins and EBITDAO of just $17MM. That's why BIOS is not going to be
selling for $20+ per share anytime soon. However, BIOS would also be worth more
than $4-5 to a strategic buyer.
As with many businesses in this industry, M&A is done primarily to strip
out overhead. Services and products are distributed with the gross margin
captured at whatever level contracts are negotiated at but the overhead costs
can be stripped out in cases when an efficient operator takes over a stumbling
bloated operation like BIOS and reaps significant cost synergies. For example,
BIOS is on track to generate about $1.37B in revenues for 2008. It's gross
profits should be around $139MM. The issue with BIOS is that it has a cost
structure that is too large for its revenue base which is why Friedman has tried
to grow revenues as rapidly as possible. Unfortunately, investors in BIOS often
find the Company is spinning its wheels as gained business sometimes just
offsets lost contracts or management pursues lower margin business which adds
further profitability pressure on the Company. However, a strategic buyer can
strip out a considerable amount of the Company's SG&A as much of that would
be redundant to the buyer's own infrastructure. Table III outlines how a
potential buyer would evaluate BIOS with the Scenario columns outlining
potential cost savings to a strategic buyer.
TABLE III: BIOS ACQUIRER SG&A SENSITIVITY

On a standalone basis, BIOS will have about $130MM in operating expenses for
2008 but a strategic buyer could rationalize a lot of these costs. Each
Scenario column presents a sliding scale in terms of operating expense savings
for a potential buyer and the pro forma operating earnings for BIOS
post-acquisition. For example, the Baseline OpEx is $130MM and Column 3 assumes
a buyer only carries over 70% of those operating expenses, basically eliminating
$39MM in costs resulting in the acquirer realizing higher operating earnings
than BIOS could on a standalone basis.
Column 2 is highlighted because it provides a good baseline for what a
strategic buyer could comfortably pay whereby it achieves excellent returns on
its acquisition while investors receive a very fair value for their shares. To
achieve satisfactory returns, all an acquirer would have to do is locate roughly
$26MM in savings from BIOS which should not be a tall order. Obviously, this
needs to be taken into context with an acquirer's capital structure, financing,
and accretion/dilution with acquiring BIOS but the cost savings in terms of
stripping out SG&A will be the main driver. This is because while an
acquirer can pay a certain price that may look expensive on the surface, the
cost synergies should allow a seemingly fair to expensive deal to be very
cheap.
It's important for potential buyers and investors to note that there are a
number of low hanging fruit in terms of cost rationalization. The Company
currently has facilities in Eden Prairie, MN; Ohio, and Elmsford, NY that could
be rationalized by an acquirer. Some of these facilities are legacy locations
from the Company's predecessor companies. Another benefit would be the
elimination of BIOS management and its Board which would save well over $1MM.
The Company's audit fees were $1.6MM in 2007 and could be eliminated as the
excess audit fees are already too high for the Company's size and likely a
reflection of poor internal accounting and record keeping which necessitates
additional work by BIOS auditors. While the Company has reduced its bad debt
expense, that improvement is relative to its historically abysmal figures and
given the variety of IT and A/R challenges BIOS has experienced, it's hard to
believe an acquirer would not have better A/R controls in place such that the
$3.2MM or so in projected (Kinnaras estimate) 2008 bad debt expense would not be
significantly reduced. These few items already result in roughly $5-$7MM in
cost savings making it difficult to believe, especially in this industry where
M&A is driven by cost synergies, that a buyer could not achieve an
additional $20MM in cost savings, particularly when the Company's likely
acquirers all have significant scale and experience in M&A.
Friedman and his cronies have had over a decade to prove that they can
generate positive returns for BIOS shareholders. While shareholders since 1996
have lost over 75%, Friedman has kept his job and prospered with generous
compensation increases and bonuses, financed by shareholders. Friedman
engineered the botched MIM/Chronimed merger and can hardly explain any coherent
plan on how margins can improve except to say that revenues will outpace
SG&A with a lower projected gross profit margin but providing no long-term
goal for any of those line items. Management and the Board have demonstrated no
interest in generating shareholder value and Friedman has had more than ample
time and produced nothing but inconsistency and losses for investors. Based on
the Q2 conference call it also appears that he and the Board have no interest in
allowing investors to be privy to any overtures made my potential acquirers as
this would mean that insiders lose the free ride they've experienced at the
expense of shareholders. Given my discussion with other shareholders, it
appears that the best move is to publicly reach out to potential buyers and
M&A advisors and let them know investors are more than willing to deliver
BIOS to potential buyers for a fair price.
DISCLOSURE: AUTHOR MANAGES A HEDGE FUND THAT IS LONG BIOS.