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Focus Can Now Shift To The Collapsed Housing Market
By: Investors Daily Edge   Wednesday, November 05, 2008 11:29 AM

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With the election now over, focus will turn back to what ails the economy. And front and center will be the continuing housing crisis. Foreclosure rates keep going up and the $700 billion bailout has yet to spur lending.

So what is a bank with a collapsing loan portfolio to do? Take matters into their own hands. Bank of America previously announced it would work with delinquent borrowers to try and stave off foreclosures, and now JP Morgan Chase is doing the same.

JP Morgan Chase has announced it will delay foreclosure proceedings while it works with struggling homeowners.  Over the next 90 days, the bank will look at loans and determine if the loan is eligible for a reduced interest rate or loan balance. The company has already helped over 250,000 families with over $40 billion in troubled loans, and over the next two years plan to help another 400,000 homeowners with over $70 billion in loans. Loans held by Washington Mutual and EMC Mortgage Corp, which were recently acquired by JP Morgan Chase, will also be eligible for revision.

What remains to be seen is the effect this will have on foreclosure rates. Reducing a borrower’s interest rate slightly doesn’t necessarily translate to a large reduction in a mortgage payment. A drop of $75 or $100 a month in the mortgage payment would be welcome for the homeowners, but the savings could quickly be eaten up by rising costs elsewhere.

Hopefully the plan relies more on reducing principal balances to more accurately reflect fair market values. This would help by stabilizing home values at fair-market levels, rather than letting foreclosures decimate neighborhoods.

For example, if a home bought a few years ago for $250,000 gets re-appraised for $180,000 and the borrower can now afford the payments and avoids foreclosure. This drops the value down to $180,000 for comparables, but avoids a potential drop to $125,000-140,000 if the home goes into foreclosure and gets sold at auction. Not a perfect solution, but anything is better than another foreclosure.



(1)
 
11/5/2008 3:43:08 PM
by Stephanie Anderson
Mailing out loan mod offers in mass quantities does not work. People just don't fill out legal forms they don't understand and send them back to an adverse party (their lender). The mass mod success rate within the industry for getting a hold of troubled homeowners and modifying their mortgages is an embarrassing 2%. Over 50% of homeowners go into foreclosure without ever speaking to their lender. Matt Swibel was on to a solution in this Forbes article: http://www.forbes.com/entrepreneurs/forbes/2008/0721/058.htm The key is to have a company such as LoanMod.com handle the homeowner with care, collect their financials, and execute the loan mod documents. LoanMod.com has the trust of homeowners so there is no problem making contact; their counselors (they are expected to have over 100 on staff by early 2009*) can guide the homeowners through the loan mod process so people understand what they are signing; and their notaries (19,000 spanning 50 states) finalize mod offers at the homeowners kitchen table so there are no problems with the paperwork. The best move would be for FDIC or Indymac to get a hold of the folks at LoanMod.com and get them involved in cleaning up this mess. *Source: http://www.america.gov/st/diversity-english/2008/September/2
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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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