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Dave Fry's Market Comments For November 5
By: Dave Fry   Wednesday, November 05, 2008 6:37 PM

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So, what did I miss the past three days? I didn’t make it to Chicago for the party and went to bed early. And, no, I don’t know that reveler featured above.

The only thing interesting me this morning was the make-up of the US senate and that seems not to have reached the magic 60 seat level for absolute control.

We had a nothing day Monday, followed by a light volume rally yesterday and then a blistering light volume sell-off today. I’ve read a lot of blogs posting with certainty that a year-end rally is in the cards now with lots of people taking long positions. They must be disappointed today since they must feel suckered.

I’d call your attention to a few charts below. First, note the McClellan Oscillator which I post routinely demonstrating extremes moving rapidly from much oversold to much overbought. Also you should note how poorly the Russell Small Cap 2000 index has performed. The reason is because the hardest to manipulate given all the securities. This is also the case for Mid-Caps and so forth.





Let’s compare this to WSJ data just for fun.

























We’re on the sidelines and that is the result of the extreme volatility, recent oversold conditions on weekly charts and the “weekly sequential” DeMark 9 indicator revealed in the chart below current through yesterday. This reading could result in a number of possibilities: the downtrend “may” be exhausted either temporarily by moving sideways, perhaps starting another leg lower again after a brief “reaction”, reversing course and heading up, or, if the trend is very strong the 9 might be ignored all together. But, below you can see a “reaction” which is also sometimes built within the 9 itself.

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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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