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Dave Fry's Market Comments For November 19
By:
Dave Fry
Wednesday, November 19, 2008 8:03 PM
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Vote for next session
The next market session will close:
Another Big Wednesday? Oh yeah! Of course what Laird Hamilton is doing in this video is an awesome ride of guts but ultimately beautiful at the same time. We can’t say the same thing about the stock market now can we?
On
SPY
yesterday we rallied 4.25% in the last hour of trading and today we fell 3% in the last hour. This type of violence, with today alone being down over 6.33%, is what makes holding positions too difficult for the average investor.
Volume was as heavy as yesterday with most of it coming toward the close like yesterday. But unlike yesterday the performance reversed. Breadth probably put in another negative 90/10 day.
I won’t miss a chance to post a cool Big Wednesday pic or video whether markets are up or down big.
Over the weekend I posted some monthly charts of the DJIA going back to 1897. What was I searching for? I was trying to find monthly RSI readings as low as we commonly see today. There was only the aftermath of 1929 and the lows made in 1974 with these low levels. That’s pretty impressive.
While trading the 5 minute bars today I noted the heavy volume just before the close and thought that might indicate some capitulation. We’ll have to wait and see.
You should be very wary of options expirations beginning tomorrow afternoon and ending Friday. The options specialists and floor traders will be on seek and destroy missions trying to exercise expiring strike prices. This can create some weird action.
Sometimes cash is a good place since most investors I know aren’t under the same pressure as a mutual fund manager who always needs to be invested. Just remember the famous line from the movie Cool Hand Luke:
“Yeah, well sometimes nothing is a real cool hand.”
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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
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