For those like myself who remain strongly bearish on the US dollar,
gold is an appealing buy, and a key indicator of the dollar's health.
With that in mind, let's look at a few charts to help us identify key
price points that gold and currency traders should watch and base
decisions off.
The chart below is a weekly chart of gold. Note the moving averages are bearish, and that the market has been consolidating for the past four weeks, albeit on relatively low trading volume.
Below is the daily chart. The trend is bearish here as well, as indicated by moving averages as well as a downward channel in the making. The daily chart also shows
key support at 648, confirmed as both a previous key price point as
well as a major 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at that point as
well.
For short-term traders, the 20 day exponential moving average has been serving as resistance, and is currently just below 750. Given
the current bearish trend in gold, traders may want to consider
shorting gold should the market break below the 50% Fibonacci level at
721 with a target of 647 and a stop-loss at 750.
Fundamentally, I am still bullish on gold given the factors pointing to
a weak US dollar. With that in mind, I'm looking for gold buying
opportunities. While I think gold is a great long-term buy at this
price level, an even better opportunity would be if the market drops to
648 and bounces off it. Also worth noting is that
Iran recently switched its reserves to gold, which I would view as a bullish sign for gold.