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Water: The Ultimate Commodity
By: Hard Assets Investor   Friday, November 21, 2008 10:35 AM

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We all need water to live. As useful as oil, copper and corn may be, we could get by without them for a while. But water? Water is a necessity. And for some, this makes it the ultimate commodity.

People invest in commodities for a lot of reasons: for diversification; as a way to play growth in the developing world; because they think demand growth will outstrip supply.

By those metrics, water may be the ultimate commodity investment. Demand for water is steady and never-ending, meaning water investments should not be correlated with broader economic developments. Meanwhile, history shows that as economies develop, citizens will demand more and more water to support richer lifestyles, making water an interesting play on countries like China and India. And finally, the world is in a silent water crisis, with rising demand set against limited supply; a classic commodities squeeze.

 

Water Crisis

The world currently faces a water crisis of both supply and demand.

We're taught to think that there's plenty of water: 75% of the Earth's surface is covered with it. The problem is, most of that water is useless: 97% is seawater, 2.5% is frozen in the ice caps and just 0.5% is fresh and available for use. Worse, much of what remains is contaminated, polluted or otherwise degraded, and not fit for consumption.

On the demand side, water needs are growing ... fast. The world's population growth provides an underlying pressure on demand, while growth in the developing world accelerates that demand curve dramatically.

Meeting this global crisis from a fixed supply will involve massive expenditure, and it will be the companies that clean, support, supply, reuse and save water that will benefit from this flow of capital.

Supply

As if the problem of a fixed supply were not enough, there are three further major supply problems affecting the world's water situation.

First, the distribution of existing water resources around the world is horribly uneven: 60% of the world's fresh water is located in just nine countries. And unlike many commodities, water isn't portable; it simply doesn't make economic sense to transport water from (say) Canada to (say) China; water, even if its value rises tenfold, is simply too voluminous.

Second, where water is actually available, it is often not available in a suitable form. It may, for instance, be either too hot or too old, or, perhaps, too dirty or too salty. Increasingly, it's also too polluted; in the U.S., the gasoline additive MTBE has rendered a significant percentage of wells unfit for human consumption.

Third, in developed countries, where water is generally available as needed, the infrastructure supplying it is old and decaying. Estimates of how much a country like the U.S. must spend upgrading its water infrastructure over the next 20 years measure in the billions.


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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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