You've heard of the "good cop, bad cop" technique... It's effective on
younger and more vulnerable suspects to force a confession. In investing, The
Wall Street Gang knows that investors become helpless, and less educated when
you spread words like "The Great Depression II" across the airwaves.
Isn't amazing how cocky and well educated investors are during rip roaring
bull markets, and how meek, confused, and fearful they become during bear
markets? All these programmable robots have to do is listen to the media. They
will tell you how to think, and what to say...in every situation.
For those of you who are not programmable robots, here's what I think is
about to happen;
A week ago I said that " The mood of investors is changing". In the months
ahead I believe the path of the markets take over the next few years will be
much more favorable for investors. In fact, investors who continue to dollar
cost average into the market at these levels will look like geniuses in a year
or two.
Despite the daily deluge of negative news, the stock market has become more
resilient. Now than the bone heads at the National Bureau of Economic Research
finally confirmed (a year too late) that we are in a recession, investors can
now look toward a recovery.
The National Bureau of Economic Research is worthless. If you were a year
late for your job, you wouldn't have one.
Technically, my short term (1-3 months) target for the DJIA is 9500-9800. For
the SPX 975-1000, and the NASDAQ 1750. Those short term gains will be tested,
but in 2009 I am expecting a continuation of the rally. Longer term, by election
day 2012, I am looking for a retest of the highs on the Dow and S&P, and by
2016 the NASDAQ may be approaching new all time highs.
Yesterday was another roller-coaster ride, but a resilient one. The DJIA fell
about 185 points on the open, but closed up 172 on the day.
The VIX index close at 60.72, and some are calling a VIX number of 40 the new
20. What a bunch of crap!
The November employment report will be released on Friday before the open.
Does anybody in their right mind think this number will be positive? Expect more
volatility, but expect an upward bias into January and February.
Today, the CEOs of the "Little 3" will appear in front of the bureaucrats
that gave tax breaks to foreign car makers allowing them to capture a huge share
of the American auto market. Oddly, these politicians kissed the asses of the
CEO's of the financial industry, but chose to make an example out of the auto
execs.
I have to admit I would chastise the Chrysler CEO Robert Nardelli. I would
ask him to wear his Home Depot hat during the meetings. Nardelli was once CEO of
Home Depot, and is now a worker ant for the country club elitists of Cerberus Capital. If you remember,
Cerberus hired former Secretary of the Treasury, John Snow as their Chairman. As
you can see, these people take care of their own. It's a country club, and they
are elitists.
What's fair for one should be fair for all, but it isn't. Shysters from the
New York investment banks created the unregulated credit default swaps that are
wreaking havoc in the economy.
New definition of Insanity;
Having your brokerage account with a New York investment bank.