I was thinking more like: “
As you were, soldier!” We’re just flat
on the week now in equities which must frustrate a lot of bullish investors. It
is entertaining I suppose.
Everyone feels pressure to
do
something investment wise and we’re no different. When I stated over the
weekend
Intuitive Dave thought we would rally while
Systematic Dave didn’t see it yet I was both right and wrong.
Intuition is a fleeting thing making it unquantifiable.
Our man in
Geneva gives us the volume and breadth data.
Then there’s Planet Yahoo below.
I’m pressed for time this afternoon so I’m going to post
just a few more charts that have been and continue to be especially meaningful.
So, what is the Canary in the coal mine for markets? I think it’s
the ongoing bond bubble, fate of the dollar and ultimate inflation baked in the
cake. The sharp rise in bonds and negative yields on short-dated T-Bills
indicates real fear and is an investor vote of no confidence. The dollar has
risen but seems to be turning over after its large run higher. Gold and
commodities are making a move higher.
Let’s look.
Looking at a weekly DeMark Sequential chart of DXY you’ll
note the previous “9” in early September did lead to a reaction. What does the
current “9” portend? So far we got the reaction and we’ll have to see what
happens next.
I’m sorry but that’s all the time for today since
meetings and conferences overwhelmed my schedule. But you should be drawn to the
bond bubble for what it is: a reflection of fear and no desire to take risk. I
don’t think stocks can run far to the upside until money comes out of this
bubble nest.
The on/off auto bailout isn’t impressive either way. We can
spend some money now to make politicians feel good and pander to constituents
and then put them in Chapter 11 or we just let them go there now. The world
won’t end either way and the latter remedy may allow for a better long term
solution.
After the close BAC lowered the boom by laying off 35,000
people due to the M/L takeover. And so do Lewis and Thain get bonuses? What a
travesty if they do!
Tomorrow may deliver plenty of fireworks with quad
witching, retail sales, inventories and consumer sentiment.
Have a great
weekend.
Disclaimer: The ETF Digest has no positions.