Discovering Value in OpenTV
OpenTV
Corp. (NDAQ: OPTV) received a proposal from an activist investor that shareholders
may want to consider. Discovery Equity Partners proposed that the firm undertake a
Dutch Auction Tender Offer to repurchase at least $30 million of common stock. The
hedge fund believes that this action will help to unlock substantial value in the
company’s stock price that has been falling in recent weeks.
Discovery backed their proposal with four key facts:
-
The current cash balance of almost $100 million far exceeds the amount necessary to
run the business.
-
The current level of cash is well outside the bounds of normal business practices
for comparable firms.
-
Retaining cash for potential acquisitions threatens to distract management, introduce
risk and dilute shareholder value.
-
The share repurchase will greatly enhance value for all shareholders.
According to the
Schedule
13D filing with the SEC:
We believe OpenTV will generate over $10 million in free cash flow in
2008, net of capital expenditures, up from $7 million in 2007. Since Kudelski
SA acquired a controlling stake in early 2007, management has expressed its commitment
to improve profitability and appears to be making progress. Thus, we expect operating
cash flow to remain positive. We think it is reasonable for OpenTV to maintain
$25 million of cash (approximately three months’ sales) to demonstrate financial stability
to customers and weather extraordinary business pressures. Retaining cash considerably
beyond that amount appears to contradict management’s confidence in the business.
OpenTV’s cash has nearly doubled from $52 million to $99 million over the four years
ended September 30, 2008. Compared to over 1100 comparable U.S. public companies
(based on market capitalizations of $50-500 million and revenues of over $50 million),
OpenTV’s ratio of cash-to-revenue ranks in the top decile, which we believe indicates
lax balance sheet management. We believe this proposal is a start toward better
stewardship of shareholder resources
A critical element of OpenTV’s improving performance is the recent divestiture of
several non-core businesses amassed through acquisitions. We fear that excessive
idle cash could encourage new acquisitions that would reintroduce management distractions
and unknown risks. We are also concerned that acquisitions might be pursued
to meet the global business objectives of Kudelski rather than for the financial benefit
of all shareholders. Further, we expect any acquisitions to be highly dilutive
to shareholders because there are few companies OPTV can acquire for less than its
current valuation of only 0.6x revenue and 5.2x EBITDA, based on our projected 2008
results for OpenTV and its 3-month average stock price of $1.21 as of December 17,
2008
We believe a partial return of excess capital to shareholders is a smart financial
move. The Dutch Auction share repurchase method will provide an orderly mechanism
for shareholders seeking liquidity, while greatly improving the potential return on
equity for shareholders who choose to retain some or all of their OpenTV shares. After
the repurchase, the business will still be well funded with approximately $70 million
of remaining cash.
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