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Managing The Risk Of A Dividend Cut With Allocations
By: Dividends4Life   Wednesday, December 24, 2008 10:06 AM

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In an earlier article, Strategically Managing Your Dividend Portfolio In A Downturn, one of the tactics mentioned to help manage the risk of a dividend cut was to limit your allocation in any single investment to a maximum of 5%. However, if the allocation is measured by market value, our portfolio may still be at significant risk of a dividend cut. Consider the following:

Below are four of my holdings showing and their percentage of my income portfolio's market value:

  • Commercial Net Lease Realty, Inc. (NNN) 5.7%
  • Realty Income Corp (O) 4.6%
  • Alpine Total Dynamic Dividend Fund (AOD) 4.1%
  • Eaton Vance Global Dividend Opportunities Fund (ETO) 5.2%
Both NNN and ETO are slightly over the 5.0% limit, but not enough to be concerned about. However, when I calculate each of these securities as a percent of my total dividend income the results are not as benign, as shown below:
  • Commercial Net Lease Realty, Inc. (NNN) 7.9%
  • Realty Income Corp (O) 5.0%
  • Alpine Total Dynamic Dividend Fund (AOD) 18.9%
  • Eaton Vance Global Dividend Opportunities Fund (ETO) 12.2%
Combined, these four securities represent 44% of my dividend income compared to only 19.6% of the market value of my income portfolio. I currently have 43 securities in my income portfolio. If each security in the portfolio were equal weighted, then each security should only represent 2.3% of the whole. How did I get into this position?

I have not purchased any O since June 2007 when it was trading at $26.02. With a 12/19/08 closing price of $24.54, its price has has held up relatively well. My average basis in NNN was $21.42 earlier this year. In November, I purchased some additional shares at $14.24 bringing my average basis down to under $20. NNN closed at $16.57 on 12/19/08.

Three stocks were sold in October that had cut their dividends and this created a significant amount of income that needed to be made up. I strongly suspected that AOD was trading well below its underlying value and purchased a large block of it. At the time it was yielding just under 37%. Ten days later the fund itself confirmed my suspicion in a press release saying they had begun purchasing its own shares.


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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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