Dear Smart Profits Report Reader,
Just a week to go now before Barack Obama finally gets his feet under the Oval Office desk.
Priority #1: Getting the much-discussed economic stimulus package pushed through Congress and approved.
Question is: Will the oft-dithering Congress actually take some action to enact this proposal? You can bet that the hallowed halls of the Capitol are buzzing with debate and counter-debate at the moment, but trying to get blustering lawmakers to agree on something requires the patience of a saint.
Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is 3,000 miles away, where he made a speech at the London School of Economics today. I was struck by this tasty soundbyte:
“It is unacceptable that large firms, which government is now compelled to support in order to preserve financial stability were among the greatest risk-takers during the boom period… The existence of too-big-to-fail firms violates the presumption of a level playing field among financial institutions.”
Unacceptable, yes. But apparently not unacceptable enough to bail them out anyway - and then going on record to advocate more of the same. I wonder if his helicopter ever runs out of fuel.
Specifically, Bernanke stated that, “Fiscal actions are unlikely to promote a lasting recovery unless they are accompanied by strong measures to further stabilize and strengthen the financial system.” And in Fed-speak, that also means leaving the door open for more corporate bailouts for firms that don’t deserve it - but will get it anyway. In return, Bernanke says they must accept the additional regulation that will follow.
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Cash Grab
On Monday, almost-President Obama asked for the remaining $350 billion of the initial $700 billion bailout package to be released into the economy. And while Bernanke says Obama’s rescue package proposal should provide a “significant boost” to the economy, it might not be enough.
The most pressing need appears to be an effort to remove the “large quantity of troubled, hard-to-value assets” from banks’ balance sheets. That would involve setting up what Bernanke calls “bad banks” to hold the assets in exchange for cash and equity in the bank. Another move could be for the Treasury to simply buy the assets (using public money, of course).
But until this situation plays out further and we see what kind of effect all this stimulus has, we simply don’t know whether it will work.