I’ve noticed a few web searches hitting my site for Nam Tai Electronics (NTE)
so here’s a heads-up that I sold NTE near the beginning of January @ $6.23. The
portfolio spreadsheet will be updated accordingly at the end of the month.
Here’s my previously unpublished notes on NTE’s last earnings release (when
it was selling under $5). It was originally intended to be a post updating all 3
of my tech positions (NTE, AMAT, INTC) but got sidetracked when I spent nearly a
week researching AMAT and realized that I still wasn’t comfortable with my grasp
on their business (that should give you some hint of my stance toward AMAT).
Nam Tai Electronics (NTE) has been making news lately and pretty much all of
it is bad (US$ unless noted):
- The financial-cum-economic crisis has blown holes through all 3 of their
business segments. Consumer electronics (CECP) and telecom components (TCA)
revenue dropped 20%+ y/y. Net income performance was worse than that, with TCA
and LCDP going into net losses.
- The company had negative operating cash flow in Q3, burning $3M as working
capital activity spiked. While 2008 YTD numbers are holding up, I fully expect
the pain to be heavily backloaded into Q4.
- They have expended only $13.5M in capex thus far, compared to projected $92M
capex including the Wuxi factory expenditure. The company implied that the 2nd
and 3rd stages of the Wuxi plant will be suspended pending the economic fallout.
- NTE finished Q3 with $5.59 cash per share ($251M total), tangible book value
of $6.98 per share and no net debt.
- The CEO abruptly resigned due to personal family reasons.
- Nam Tai announced they would no longer hold quarterly earnings conference
calls. Less transparency isn’t usually positive.
- Other than the update on the Wuxi expansion, the company provided no further
outlook going forward as the global slowdown hampers visibility. Suffice it to
say things are bad and look to get worse.
While in hindsight I was much too early on NTE and perhaps did not properly
weigh its involvement in such a discretionary segment of the economy, at current
prices under $5 per share, NTE is selling below net cash so the business,
weakened as it is, comes for free. The company also gave preliminary
indications of maintaining its $0.22 quarterly dividend for Jan 2009 payout but
I expect it to be cut sometime in 2009. Nevertheless, with the factory
expansion put on hold and NTE selling below both tangible book and net cash, I
am holding at this time despite the dubious business prospects in the
intermediate term.
The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect
iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you
regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event
iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without
limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage
whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this
information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment
decision.