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Earnings This Week; Investors Are Betting Against NVIDIA
By: Midnight Trader   Friday, February 06, 2009 2:55 PM

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Investors will be closely watching Capitol Hill for signs of an expected financial package. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner is expected to disclose the administration's plans to address still-ailing financial institutions. The creation of a "bad bank" to warehouse bad loans is widely expected. Anticipation for a financial package sent stocks soaring on Friday despite a disappointing unemployment report. This week earnings will continue as investors hear results from Beazer Homes (BZH), SOHU.com (SOHU) and UBS (UBS), just to name a few.

NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) is set to report its fourth-quarter results after the bell on Tuesday, and analysts polled by Thomson Financial are expecting the company to report a loss of ten cents per share on revenue of $487.2 million. Shares of NVDIA recently saw a huge surge in short interest, according to Nasdaq. The exchange said short interest rose 67% January 15 compared with December 31 in the stock. So, investors are betting shares will see a steep decline in the coming weeks.

Nvidia slightly favors a narrowing pattern between its after-hours move and the next day session following an evening earnings event. However, in the near-term performance, the stock is showing a tendency to widen its move, doing so in three out of the past four quarters. On November 6, the stock rallied 13.5% in extended hours after the company's third-quarter results beat the Street. The stock widened its gain in the following regular session, ending up 14.4%.

Applied Materials (AMAT) is due with its fiscal first-quarter results after the close on Tuesday, and analysts polled by Thomson Financial are expecting the company to report a profit of a penny a share, down 96% from a year ago, on revenue of $1.4 billion. However, the biggest supplier of semiconductor manufacturing equipment recently warned of a loss of 9 to 11 cents per share, after expecting in November earnings of zero to 4 cents a share. The stock has found support above $9 per share, as it hasn't closed below that level in the past two months.

The stock has a tendency to narrow its after-hours movement the next day following an evening earnings event. It has done so after 11 of the last 19 earnings events. The near-term performance is mixed, however, with two narrower moves and two wider moves in the last four quarters. On November 12, shares of Applied Materials fell 1.4% after the company warned that profit would fall short in the upcoming quarter. However, shares reversed course in the following trading session, ending sharply higher by 14.3%.


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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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