If you're looking for the best REIT stock, you should review the definition of an oxymoron and maybe also have your sanity checked. Since REITs peaked in February 2007, the sector is down 75%, as measured by the benchmark MSCI U.S. REIT Index and 64% since last September alone.
Equity REIT yields are the now the highest they have been since 1990, and when compared to corporate bonds, valuations of Real Estate Investment Trusts are at their cheapest levels since 1993, according to Green Street Advisors. If you're a contrarian, this also means that investing in REITs could also be a great value play, especially if you have a longer term investment horizon.
On average, the highest equity REIT yields are in hotels and leisure sector, followed by industrial, apartments and retail. All yields are not created equally however, and you need to avoid
REITs paying dividends in stock, as well as
REITs with balance sheet issues. Even healthy REITs like Vornado Realty Trust (VNO) and Simon Property Group (SPG) have elected to pay
dividends in stock, while General Growth Properties (GGP), a retail REIT that has been struggling to refinance billions in debt for months, could be in bankruptcy by the time you read this.
Accordingly, investors need to stick with companies that have low leverage and that are covering their dividends with operating cash. The former allows them to be buyers of accretive investments rather than distressed sellers, while the latter makes large dividend cuts less likely. Do not blindly chase high yields, as many have proven to be illusory. REITs also need to be operating in markets where they still have pricing power, and this is the most difficult criterion of all.
The Best REIT Stocks for 2009
One large cap name that has not yet cut its dividend is Avalon Bay (AVB), a well capitalized Apartment REIT with a portfolio concentrated in large, high-barrier-to-entry cities. This will protect AVB from the downturn, as will its focus on apartments.