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Stock Market Report: S&P 500 Chart Signals Traffic Ahead
By: The Correct Call   Monday, April 06, 2009 12:40 PM

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After watching the markets head higher for four weeks in a row, investors have to be wondering, “How long will it last?” Our weekly Stock Market Report answers that question to help you prepare for what’s next.

In March 16, Stock Market Report the crystal ball told us:

“Our technical analysis leads us to believe the indexes could rise to the next level or two of resistance, taking the S&P 500 as high as 875 points, maybe 900 points by mid-April. From there, if history does repeat itself, the indexes could trade sideways until late May and then head back to lows sometime in late June to early July. Just in time for 2nd quarter earnings releases.”

So far so good as we close in on our mid-April timeline. Meanwhile, the 3 models that make up our crystal ball with all have their needles pointing at the bull. Last week:

  • The Current Trend Line snapped up 45 degrees, right out of congestion.
  • Our Momentum Model gained strength in 2 of 3 timeframes.
  • The Market Leadership wagon continues to be pulled along by the NASDAQ.

But… we see a possible traffic jam ahead.

After looking at the S&P 500 chart, we can’t help but see a stop sign or maybe a flashing yellow down the road. On the way down, as you can see on the S&P 500 chart below, a whole lot of debris littered the index chart between 900 and 850. It’s our view that the index is going to have to clean that mess up before any of this bottom talk can be taken seriously.

Smart investors might think about hedging against the indexes backing up a bit. You know what they say about an ounce of prevention. The medicine that will best help you stomach a little stock market indigestion is an inverse ETF. Something like ProShares Short Dow 30 (DOG) would do the trick, and we promise it will taste good on the way down.




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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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