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Bullish On Canadian Pacific
By: The Money Gardener   Thursday, April 16, 2009 9:46 AM

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Every once in a while on the moneygardener, I get the urge to explain why I like a certain company as an investment. The reasons why I own the stocks that I own for the long term are not as simple as past dividend growth or current low price to earnings ratios. I have specific qualitative, forward looking reasons for owning each and every stock that I own.

Right now, one stock that I am watching intently because I want to add to my position is Canadian Pacific (CP). I was not as interested in CP when it was trading at $86.00 back in July of 2007, but now that the stock is trading below $40.00 I believe CP is ripe for an attractive long term investment. So other than the reasonable valuation, why am I so bullish on Canadian Pacific?

Well, it is a fairly simple thesis; Asian economic growth should be the story of the next 50 years, Canada is flush with resources, and railroads are a boring monopolistic way to play this growth.

Consider this, CP holds a significant market position in the transportation of bulk commodities, which account for a large portion of the company's revenues. Grain, coal, and fertilizers accounted for about 43% of CP's freight revenue in 2007. As a comparison, automotive related products only accounted for 7% of CP's freight revenue.

Over the next 50 years Asia will require a whole whack of coal for steel production and loads of fertilizer and grain for food production. Canada happens to be a prime source for these materials. I see this trend of growing Canadian exports of these materials to Asia as a given and CP will inevitably be a large beneficiary of this growth as they transport from West to Far East.

I own CP shares and I will be looking to add to my position on any weakness in share price in the upcoming weeks, months, and years.

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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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