logo

First National Financial (NYSE:FNF) Misses; Underlying Metrics The Real Story
By: TraderMark   Tuesday, April 28, 2009 7:35 AM

Vote for next session
The next market session will close:

First National Financial (NYSE:FNF) missed their estimate relatively large but a somewhat muted reaction after hours - this is more of a multi year play on housing recovery so I am more interested in what they have to say than the numbers. That said I wish it was up 30% on a massive loss while the CEO says he sees stabilization - but we don't seem to own those type of stocks.

Analysts are just guessing at the numbers as the range was -0.05 to 0.31, and they basically hit the low end of the range with a 6 cent loss. MANY caveats I will lay out below since a very large integration was undertaken that slowed them down this quarter but will be a major tailwind as we move forward. This was a digestion quarter. The stock is down 50 cents in after hours but judging from the stock price I was thinking this sort of thing was being telegraphed. I cut back to about a 1.9% stake as the stock was at threat of falling below its 50 day moving average after testing it just about each day for 2 weeks straight. (i.e. not participating in the rally) I'd love to see a pullback to $16s to reload up.

Here are the results with the important commentary; I might be the only financial presence on the internet who actually cares about this result since tonight it's all about the Baidu.com (BIDU) economy. Keep in mind First National did a quite material acquisition so these are not organic numbers; and the "losses" are due to the acquisition
  • Revenue up from $1.13B to $1.36B
  • Earnings/loss from +$27.2M to -$12.4M (more on this later)
  • Cash flow from -$74.9M to +$128.3M (awesome)
In this quarter in 2008 they opened 562K orders and closed 308K orders
In this quarter in 2009 they opened 746K orders and closed 429K orders

So that's a 33% gain in opened orders and 39% gain in closed orders year over year (not organic though, partly due to acquisition)

This follows up on very positive comments they made a quarter ago (Feb 4, 2009: First National Financial Seems to be Turning the Corner) on a surge of titles changing hands...

Next Page >>123

(0)
No Comments
Post Comment
Name:  
Alert for new comments:
Your email:
Your Website:
Title:
Comments:
   
 
 
 
 
   
 

The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
Advertisement
Popular Articles
Related Press Releases
Advertisement
Partner Center
Recent Articles by TraderMark



Subscribe to Email Alerts rss feed or RSS feeds rss feed for articles from more than 500 contributors, press releases, SEC filings and full text news from more than four thousand sources.
Fundamental data is provided by Zacks Investment Research, market data is provided by AlphaTrade. , and Commentary and Press Releases provided by Quotemedia