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Visual Evidence Of 'Crowding Out'
By: Chris   Thursday, June 11, 2009 11:56 PM

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Here’s a chart of the economy’s flow of funds, from Option ARMageddon: (This chart was also stolen here and here)

Mortgage payments are still responsible for a substantial portion of the US Debt, but Government borrowing has grown YoY(and will grow more in 2010). This is the phenomenon of crowding out, whereby government spending increases interest rates for the private sector, resulting in a decrease in borrowing (in today’s case, the treasury is competing with the private sector for buyers). Meanwhile, the FED’s statistics likely understate the Treasury’s liabilities:

The Fed only includes publicly held debt when calculating total federal government borrowings, $6.7 trillion at the end of Q1.  This excludes over $4 trillion owed to the Social Security “trust fund.”  More importantly, it excludes $60 trillion of unfunded future liabilities for Medicare and Social Security.


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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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