(By Horacio Marquez) On Monday March 9, barely three months ago, I strongly recommended buying Diamond Offshore (NYSE: DO) as part of Money Morning’s “Buy, Sell, or Hold” feature.
Both the stock and the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index had both hit 52-week lows the Friday before. But oil had already bottomed three weeks prior, and the lax fiscal and monetary policies of governments around the world seemed almost certain to promote reflation. Additionally, since the earlier oil bottom, Diamond Offshore stock had been outperforming the market.
Diamond not only had compelling fundamentals, it sported an incredibly high dividend yield, particularly if you combined both the regular and the special dividend payouts. That made the stock a compelling buy.
Not only has Diamond Offshore’s stock turned around since that early-March recommendation, the U.S. stock market as a whole turned around.
Making an investment at a market bottom is a rare opportunity. It is both risky and difficult to try and time the market, but that is precisely what we have done with two of our Buy, Sell, or Hold recommendations. I recommended the iShares MSCI Brazil Index exchange traded fund (ETF) (NYSE: EWZ) on October 27, and the fund went on to appreciate 92% in the subsequent eight months.
Now, Diamond Offshore stock has climbed more than 60% from a March 9 bottom of $54.29 a share, to its current level above $90.
I have consistently advised readers to slowly build stakes in our recommendations over a period of time. And that strategy helps mitigate risk and take advantage of panic selling. In the cases of the iShares Brazil ETF and Diamond Offshore, we were actually able to boost our profit exponentially by starting our investment at the very bottom.
Diamond Offshore’s special dividend yielded an incredible 13% when we bought it. Since the stock has run up in value, however, that same special dividend has been reduced to a 7.4% yield but remains considerably high.
As I pointed out in my previous recommendation, Diamond Offshore likely will keep paying the dividend in order to help recapitalize other holdings of its experienced and savvy majority holders.