This article originally appeared on The DIV-Net June 22, 2009.
Linked here is a detailed quantitative analysis of Cardinal Health Inc. (NYSE:CAH). Below are some highlights from the above linked analysis:
Company Description: Cardinal Health Inc. is one of the leading wholesale distributors of pharmaceuticals, medical/surgical supplies and related products to a broad range of health care customers.
Fair Value: I consider four calculations of fair value, see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description:
- Avg. High Yield Price
- 20-Year DCF Price
- Avg. P/E Price
- Graham Number
CAH is trading at a discount to 1.), 2.) and 3.) above. If I exclude the high and low valuations and average the remaining two, CAH is trading at a 32.9% discount. CAH earned a Star in this section since it is trading at a fair value.
Dividend Analytical Data: In this section I consider five factors, see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description:
- Rolling 4-yr Div. > 15%
- Dividend Growth Rate
- Years of Div. Growth
- 1-Yr. > 5-Yr Growth
- Payout 15% of avg.
CAH earned three Stars in this section for 1.), 2.) and 3.) above. Rolling 4-yr Div. > 15% means that dividends grew on average in excess of 15% for each consecutive 4 year period over the last 10 years (1999-2002, 2000-2003, 2001-2004, etc.) I consider this a key metric since dividends will double every 5 years if they grow by 15%. CAH has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1983 and has increased its dividend payments for 13 consecutive years.
Dividend Income vs. MMA: Why would you assume the equity risk and invest in a dividend stock if you could earn a better return in a much less risky money market account (MMA)? This section compares the earning ability of this stock with a high yield MMA. Two items are considered in this section, see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description:
- NPV MMA Diff.
- Years to > MMA
CAH earned one Star in this section for 1.) above. The NPV MMA Diff. of the $16,929 is in excess of the $7,500 minimum I look for in a stock that has increased dividends as long as CAH has.
