This article originally appeared on The DIV-Net June 29, 2009.
Linked here is a detailed quantitative analysis of United Technologies Corp. (UTX). It is important to note that this is the first week of using my updated analysis model, so you will see some changes from earlier analyses. Below are some highlights from the above linked analysis:
Company Description: United Technologies Corp. is an aerospace-industrial conglomerate with a portfolio including Pratt & Whitney jet engines, Sikorsky helicopters, Otis elevators and Carrier air conditioners, among other products.
Fair Value: I consider four calculations of fair value, see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description:
- Avg. High Yield Price
- 20-Year DCF Price
- Avg. P/E Price
- Graham Number
UTX is trading at a discount to 1.), 2.) and 3.) above. Since UTX’s tangible book value is not meaningful, a Graham number can not be calculated. UTX is trading at a 29.5% discount to its calculated fair value of $73.14. UTX earned a Star in this section since it is trading at a fair value.
Dividend Analytical Data: In this section there are three possible Stars and three key metrics, see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description:
- Free Cash Flow Payout
- Debt To Total Capital
- Key Metrics
- Dividend Growth Rate
- Years of Div. Growth
- Rolling 4-yr Div. > 15%
UTX earned three Stars in this section for 1.), 2.) and 3.) above. A Star was earned since the Free Cash Flow payout ratio was less than 60% and there were no negative Free Cash Flows over the last 10 years. UTX earned a Star as a result of its most recent Debt to Total Capital being less than 45%. UTX earned a Star for having an acceptable score in at least two of the four Key Metrics measured. Rolling 4-yr Div. > 15% means that dividends grew on average in excess of 15% for each consecutive 4 year period over the last 10 years (1999-2002, 2000-2003, 2001-2004, etc.) I consider this a key metric since dividends will double every 5 years if they grow by 15%. UTX has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1936 and has increased its dividend payments for 17 consecutive years.
Dividend Income vs.
